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"China's nominal gross domestic product is unlikely to surpass that of the U.S. in the next few decades."

"This idea of China becoming the world's biggest economy may not happen, actually."

"China probably won't ever overtake the US economy on a sustained basis."

"The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the U.S. is declining."

"China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by around 2035."

"China will overtake the US as the world's top economy in about 2035 with a high probability."

"[T]he size of China's economy in USD terms will overtake the US in 2028."

"China will overtake the United States to become the world's biggest economy in 2028."

Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney arrived in Beijing on Wednesday for his first official visit to China, marking the first time a Canadian leader has visited the country in eight years. Carney is scheduled to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Friday.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney arrived in Beijing on Wednesday for his first official visit to China, marking the first time a Canadian leader has visited the country in eight years. Carney is scheduled to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Friday.

Relations between Canada and China deteriorated significantly after Canadian authorities arrested Huawei executive Meng Wanzhou in late 2018 at the request of the United States. In retaliation, China detained two Canadian citizens, Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor, holding them for nearly three years.

Relations between Canada and China deteriorated significantly after Canadian authorities arrested Huawei executive Meng Wanzhou in late 2018 at the request of the United States. In retaliation, China detained two Canadian citizens, Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor, holding them for nearly three years.

Canada imposed a 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles in 2024, following the Biden administration's lead. China responded with retaliatory tariffs on Canadian exports including canola, seafood and pork, with duties ranging from 76% to 100% on canola.

Canada imposed a 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicles in 2024, following the Biden administration's lead. China responded with retaliatory tariffs on Canadian exports including canola, seafood and pork, with duties ranging from 76% to 100% on canola.

China's state media has called on Canada to pursue "strategic autonomy" in its foreign policy, independent of the United States. The government-run Global Times suggested that the heavy price paid for following U.S. tariff policies awakened Ottawa's sense of independence.

China's state media has called on Canada to pursue "strategic autonomy" in its foreign policy, independent of the United States. The government-run Global Times suggested that the heavy price paid for following U.S. tariff policies awakened Ottawa's sense of independence.

Carney's trip to China is part of efforts to diversify Canada's trade relationships and reduce economic reliance on the United States, which accounts for approximately 70% of Canadian exports. China is Canada's second-largest trading partner but represents less than 5% of exports.

Carney's trip to China is part of efforts to diversify Canada's trade relationships and reduce economic reliance on the United States, which accounts for approximately 70% of Canadian exports. China is Canada's second-largest trading partner but represents less than 5% of exports.

Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe is joining Carney for a portion of the China visit, raising expectations of potential agreements on canola or other agricultural exports. However, Canadian officials indicated they expect progress on trade but not a definitive elimination of tariffs.

Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe is joining Carney for a portion of the China visit, raising expectations of potential agreements on canola or other agricultural exports. However, Canadian officials indicated they expect progress on trade but not a definitive elimination of tariffs.

Canada's PM Carney Visits China After 8-Year Hiatus

Canada's PM Carney Visits China After 8-Year Hiatus

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Canada's PM Carney Visits China After 8-Year Hiatus

Canada's PM Carney Visits China After 8-Year Hiatus

The Controversies

JCER

Magnus

Economics

Prasad

Sachs

Times

Subbaraman

Research

Go Deeper

Articles on this story

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