Israel's recognition of Somaliland and deepening ties with Ethiopia represent strategic necessity in countering jihadist networks and Iranian proxies threatening Red Sea security. Somaliland offers a stable, democratic partner with functional governance at a critical maritime chokepoint, while Ethiopia's longstanding cooperation provides regional legitimacy for expanding counterterrorism operations across the Horn of Africa.
Israel's Somaliland recognition destabilizes the Horn by violating Somalia's sovereignty and empowering al-Shabaab with a potent jihadist narrative while risking Palestinian displacement. The move fragments regional counterterrorism efforts, draws Israel into unresolved civil conflicts, and prioritizes geopolitical positioning over collective security in a region already strained by proxy rivalries.
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