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Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?

Donald Trump

Nancy Pelosi

Kevin McCarthy

Ron DeSantis

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Mike Johnson

Hakeem Jeffries

Gavin Newsom

Thom Tillis

Nancy Mace

James Carville

Manuel Bonder

Paul Begala

Mike Marinella

Newt Gingrich

Larry Diamond

Larry Sabato

"I’m very, very bullish about the midterms. I know that we are going to win because we have a great record to run on"

"[MAGA voters] will need to show up at the ballot box; President Trump and Republicans are going to make that happen.”

"If this story is properly told, we should win the Midterm Elections in RECORD NUMBERS."

"[Trump voters] won’t turn out to vote for a typical congressman in a midterm when Trump isn’t running."

“If we [GOP] are where we are today in the beginning of the second quarter [of 2026], then I think we’re in for a really rough time in November.”

“Our best shot was the first 6-9 months. And when Republicans likely lose the midterms it will become total and complete political war and gridlock once again.”

"I think we will win them back, probably all of them, maybe more, in this election, and Hakeem Jeffries will be the speaker of the House."

"Next [2026] year when we will take back control of the House of Representatives."

“He’s going to definitely deal with a Democratic House. I think it’s more likely that he’ll be dealing with a Democratic Senate.”

Will the Republicans Lose Control of Either Houses of Congress in the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?

California Republican Rep. Doug LaMalfa died at age 65 on January 5, 2026, after suffering a medical emergency at his home and undergoing emergency surgery at Enloe Hospital in Chico. LaMalfa had represented California's 1st Congressional District since 2013.

California Republican Rep. Doug LaMalfa died at age 65 on January 5, 2026, after suffering a medical emergency at his home and undergoing emergency surgery at Enloe Hospital in Chico. LaMalfa had represented California's 1st Congressional District since 2013.

LaMalfa's death reduced the Republican House majority to 218-213, leaving Speaker Mike Johnson with only a two-vote margin on party-line legislation. The slim majority came after Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation earlier in the week.

LaMalfa's death reduced the Republican House majority to 218-213, leaving Speaker Mike Johnson with only a two-vote margin on party-line legislation. The slim majority came after Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation earlier in the week.

President Donald Trump dedicated his January 6 speech to House Republicans in LaMalfa's honor, stating he considered canceling but decided LaMalfa would have wanted him to proceed. Trump praised LaMalfa for voting with his priorities 100% of the time.

President Donald Trump dedicated his January 6 speech to House Republicans in LaMalfa's honor, stating he considered canceling but decided LaMalfa would have wanted him to proceed. Trump praised LaMalfa for voting with his priorities 100% of the time.

A fourth-generation rice farmer from Northern California, LaMalfa served on the House Agriculture, Natural Resources, and Transportation committees. He chaired the Congressional Western Caucus and was known for his work on water and forestry policy.

A fourth-generation rice farmer from Northern California, LaMalfa served on the House Agriculture, Natural Resources, and Transportation committees. He chaired the Congressional Western Caucus and was known for his work on water and forestry policy.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom must call a special election within 14 days under state law to fill LaMalfa's seat for the remainder of his term. The special election will use existing district boundaries that favor Republicans.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom must call a special election within 14 days under state law to fill LaMalfa's seat for the remainder of his term. The special election will use existing district boundaries that favor Republicans.

LaMalfa's district was among those redrawn under California's Proposition 50, approved by voters in November 2025, which grouped conservative rural areas with progressive coastal regions. The new Democratic-leaning boundaries will be used for the 2026 midterm elections.

LaMalfa's district was among those redrawn under California's Proposition 50, approved by voters in November 2025, which grouped conservative rural areas with progressive coastal regions. The new Democratic-leaning boundaries will be used for the 2026 midterm elections.

Rep. Doug LaMalfa Dies at 65, GOP Majority Narrows to 218-213

Rep. Doug LaMalfa's deathDies furtherat shrinks65, RepublicanGOP HouseMajority majorityNarrows to 218-213

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