TheTrump's peopleinterest ofin Venezuela willwas never seeabout anycounter-narcotics, ofbut therather upabout to $3 billion value of its oil as Trumpmany will control the moneywarned. Aside from the administration's neocolonialist intentions, theit U.S.makes hasno extortedsense to extort Venezuela for tar-like heavy crude that is low-quality, expensive to extract and difficult to process, while creating precedent for China to seize critical minerals in its own hemisphere, thereby strengthening a key threat.
This is a brilliant foreign policy that makes Venezuela's corrupt regime-linked interim authorities pay civil restitution for their own wrongdoing, providing short-term funding for a plan to reconstruct the country and benefit the people of Venezuela. Furthermore, this transfer is set to disrupt shipments to China and Russia, further breaking Beijing's influence over Venezuela.
There's a 42% chance that the U.S. will invade Venezuela before Jan. 20, 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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