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Trump Meets Zelenskyy, Says Russia-Ukraine Deal in Final Stages

Trump Meets Zelenskyy, Says Russia-Ukraine Deal in Final Stages as Zelenskyy comes to Mar-a-Lago

Is the U.S. leader on the verge of a diplomatic coup, or is the issue of territory likely to be a source of Russian and Ukrainian disagreement?
Trump Meets Zelenskyy, Says Russia-Ukraine Deal in Final Stages
Above: Donald Trump (R), Volodymyr Zelenskyy (L) and their respective delegations at Mar-a-Lago on Dec. 28, 2025. Image credit: Joe Raedle/Getty Images

The Spin

In what would be another diplomatic victory for President Trump, the U.S. is on the verge of arranging the first diplomatic discussion between the leaders of Ukraine and Russia. Such talks have not taken place for more than five years, and if he pulls it off, he will have successfully mediatedtaken the first meaningful steps totoward ending this war. Otherwise, this war could go on for a very long time, and no one wants to see that.

The 20-point peace plan is around 90% there, including agreement on U.S.-Ukraine security guarantees and a prosperity plan. WeBoth agreednations' that our teams will meet in the coming weeks to finalise all matters discussed matters, andwhile we agreed with President Trump that he will host UkraineUkrainian and European leaders. The issue that remains isconcerns over territory, to which Ukraine takes a very different view toof than Russia. Ukraine has to respect its law and its people, but a referendum is possible.

PriorBefore to Zelenskyy's meetingmet with Trump, the U.S. President had a call with Russian leader Putin. The whole world, and especially the Russian people, are grateful for Trump's efforts to end the conflict. Progress is being made.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by April 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0