In what would be another diplomatic victory for President Trump, the U.S. is on the verge of arranging the first diplomatic discussion between the leaders of Ukraine and Russia. Such talks have not taken place for more than five years and if he pulls it off, he will have successfully mediated the first meaningful steps to ending this war. Otherwise, this war could go on for a very long time and no one wants to see that.
The 20-point peace plan is around 90% there, including agreement on U.S.-Ukraine security guarantees and a prosperity plan. We agreed that our teams will meet in the coming weeks to finalise all discussed matters, and we agreed with President Trump that he will host Ukraine and European leaders. The issue that remains is over territory, to which Ukraine takes a very different view to Russia. Ukraine has to respect its law and its people but a referendum is possible.
Prior to Zelenskyy's meeting with Trump, the U.S. President had a call with Russian leader Putin. The whole world, and especially the Russian people, are grateful for Trump's efforts to end the conflict. Progress is being made.
There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by April 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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