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Snapshot 8:Fri, Dec 26, 2025 10:28:49 AM GMT last edited by Anna-Lisa

Brazil's Bolsonaro Endorses Son for 2026, Undergoes 'Successful' Surgery

Brazil's Bolsonaro ReleasesEndorses Letter Endorsing Son for 2026, Undergoes 'Successful' Surgery

Brazil's Bolsonaro Endorses Son for 2026, Undergoes 'Successful' Surgery
Above: Jair Bolsonaro leaves DF Star Hospital after undergoing a medical procedure on Sept. 14, 2025, in Brasília, Brazil. Image credit: Ton Molina/Getty Images

The Spin

Bolsonaro's endorsement of his eldest son defies all political logic and giftshands Lula a fourth term. Flávio istrails trailing Lula by 15 points in opinion polls, lacks party support beyond his own, and his candidacy triggered billions to vanish from markets as investors recognized thisthe move as a desperate dynasty's last gasp. Furthermore,It it doesn't help him the fact that he is the heir of a jailed coup leader.

Flávio Bolsonaro is the only legitimate opposition to Lula and the Brazilian Supreme Court that imprisoned his father without any crime. If center-right parties want the backing of Bolsonaro supporters, they cannot ignore the judicial abuses that turned Jair Bolsonaro himself and many other conservatives in Brazil into political prisoners. This isn't time for amoral pragmatism, but rather to fight thisa corrupt system.

Some may pointargue that endorsing his own son is a poor choice given the rejection of their family name and asthe heavy political baggage Flávio himself carries a heavy political baggage, but Jair Bolsonaro has previously been right against the odds. When presidential election results come out in October, the former president will face a final test onof whether his political instincts remain sharp.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0