Bolsonaro's jailhouse endorsement of Fláviohis —eldest followingson a botched escape attempt with a soldering iron — defies all political logic and gifts Lula a fourth term. TheFlávio senatoris trailstrailing Lula by 15 points in opinion polls, lacks party support beyond thehis PLown and triggeredhis 50candidacy billiontriggered realsbillions to vanish from markets as investors recognized this move as a desperate dynasty's last gasp. hasFurthermore, failedit doesn't help him the fact that he is the heir of a jailed coup leader.
Flávio Bolsonaro's candidacyis represents the only legitimate opposition to Lula and the corruptBrazilian Supreme Court that imprisoned Jairhis father without any crime. TheIf center-right's desperationparties towant replacethe himbacking withof TarcísioBolsonaro revealssupporters, theirthey amoralcannot pragmatismignore andthe hypocrisyjudicial —abuses theythat wantturned Jair Bolsonaro's voteshimself whileand abandoningmany other conservatives in Brazil into political prisoners. andThis ignoringisn't thetime judicialfor abusesamoral thatpragmatism, exposedbut Brazil'srather rottento fight this corrupt system.
Some may point that endorsing his own son is a poor choice given the rejection of their family name and as Flávio himself carries a heavy political baggage, but Jair Bolsonaro has previously been right against the odds. When presidential election results come out in October, the former president will face a final test on whether his political instincts remain sharp.
There's a 50% chance that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.18.0