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Snapshot 9:Wed, Dec 17, 2025 7:56:58 PM GMT last edited by Nick

Trump Orders 'Total and Complete' Blockade of Sanctioned Oil Tankers In and Out of Venezuela

Trump Orders 'Total and Complete' Blockade of Sanctioned Oil Tankers In and Out of Venezuela

Trump Orders 'Total and Complete' Blockade of Sanctioned Oil Tankers In and Out of Venezuela
Above: The USS Iwo Jima docked at Rafael Cordero Santiago Port of the Americas in Puerto Rico on Dec. 16, 2025. Image credit: Miguel J. Rodríguez Carrillo/Getty Images

The Spin

Venezuela's sanctioned oil trade directly funds terrorism and enriches adversaries like Iran, Russia and China, so a blockade of illicit tankers is essential for U.S. national security. Maduro's narco-terrorist regime stole billions in American oil assets through illegal expropriation, and international tribunals have ruled in favor of U.S. companies owed over $8 billion. Forceful action to recover these assets and topple this criminal cartel isn't optional — it's overdue justice that will cut off drug trafficking, end mass migration and remove hostile foreign powers from America's hemisphere.

This blockade is unconstitutional without congressional authorization and the timing of its announcement appears designed to divert attention from Epstein files releases. To make matters worse, the U.S. doesn't even need to seize foreign oil as the fracking revolution made the country a net oil exporter — and Venezuela's heavy crude may soon become a liability as global oil demand is likely to fall — and a regime change can only create further chaos in America's backyard, unleashing migration and drug trafficking on an unprecedented scale.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 55% chance that the U.S. will attack Venezuela in December 2025 or January 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Venezuela's sanctioned oil trade directly funds terrorism and enriches adversaries like Iran, Russia and China, so a blockade of illicit tankers is essential for U.S. national security. Maduro's narco-terrorist regime stole billions in American oil assets through illegal expropriation, and international tribunals have ruled in favor of U.S. companies owed over $8 billion. Forceful action to recover these assets and topple this criminal cartel isn't optional — it's overdue justice that will cut off drug trafficking, end mass migration and remove hostile foreign powers from America's hemisphere.

This blockade is unconstitutional without congressional authorization and the timing of its announcement appears designed to divert attention from Epstein files releases. To make matters worse, the U.S. doesn't even need to seize foreign oil as the fracking revolution made the country a net oil exporter — and Venezuela's heavy crude may soon become a liability as global oil demand is likely to fall — and a regime change can only create further chaos in America's backyard, unleashing migration and drug trafficking on an unprecedented scale.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0