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Snapshot 6:Tue, Dec 16, 2025 10:27:15 PM GMT last edited by Nick

UK Probes Foreign Interference After Ex-Reform UK Party Leader Jailed

UK Probes Foreign Interference After Ex-Reform UK Party Leader Jailed

A necessary defense against foreign powers buying influence, or selective prosecution targeting political opponents?
UK Probes Foreign Interference After Ex-Reform UK Party Leader Jailed
Above: British Prime Minister Keir Starmer outside 10 Downing Street in London, U.K., on Dec. 12, 2025. Image credit: Wiktor Szymanowicz/Getty Images

The Spin

Russia's meddling in westernWestern democracy has finally been proven by Gill's conviction, forcing the government to admit that the U.K.'s electoral defenses are weak. Dark money flows through shell companies, cryptocurrency and offshore routes, with Reform UK courting such funds as the Electoral Commission remains crippled after Conservative cuts. Closing loopholes and restoring oversight is vital to stop foreign powers from buying sway.

The real threat to democracy is the selective prosecution of opponents while victims of authoritarian regimes are ignored. British citizen Jimmy Lai faces life in a Hong Kong prison for journalism and human rights advocacy, yet Starmer won't tie his release to China trade talks. Labour uses the Gill case to target Reform UK and tighten fundraising rules, while failing to defend the BBC from Trump's lawsuit or protect Britons jailed abroad.

ThereRussia's ameddling 34%in chanceWestern thatdemocracy Nigelhas Faragefinally willbeen becomeproven Primeby MinisterGill's ofconviction, forcing the government to admit that the U.K.'s beforeelectoral Jandefenses are weak. 1Dark money flows through shell companies, 2035cryptocurrency and offshore routes, accordingwith toReform UK courting such funds as the MetaculusElectoral predictionCommission communityremains crippled after Conservative cuts. Closing loopholes and restoring oversight is vital to stop foreign powers from buying sway.

The real threat to democracy is the selective prosecution of opponents while victims of authoritarian regimes are ignored. British citizen Jimmy Lai faces life in a Hong Kong prison for journalism and human rights advocacy, yet Starmer won't tie his release to China trade talks. Labour uses the Gill case to target Reform UK and tighten fundraising rules, while failing to defend the BBC from Trump's lawsuit or protect Britons jailed abroad.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 54% chance that Nigel Farage will become Prime Minister of the U.K. before Jan. 1, 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0