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Snapshot 7:Tue, Dec 16, 2025 3:44:15 PM GMT last edited by Kani

Gunmen Attack Church in Kogi, Kill 1, Abduct Up to 20

Gunmen Attack Church in Kogi, Kill 1, Abduct Up to 20

Above: Our Lady of the Holy Rosary Catholic Church (Mary Home) dramatizes the Stations of the Cross to mark Good Friday in Oke-Ira, Ogba in Ikeja, Lagos, Nigeria, on April 18, 2025. Image credit: Adekunle Ajayi/Getty Images

The Spin

TerroristsDespite arethe systematicallyrecent targetingincident, Christiansecurity communitiesforces in Kogi State duringare Christmasgaining seasonground withagainst coordinatedbandits, pre-dawnwith attacks,attackers killingneutralized worshipperswith andsupport abductingfrom congregantsthe whilecivilian securitypopulation forcesand arrivearmy onlyand afterpolice attackersunits havedeployed vanishedto intoprotect forestscommunities. IntelligenceSince warningsPresident fromTinubu U.S.took expertsoffice, aboutmore plannedthan Christmas13,500 attacksfighters wenthave unheededbeen killed, andwhile despitetalks standingon agreementsU.S.–Nigeria withsecurity Americancooperation partnerscontinue forthrough dronediplomatic surveillancechannels. The violence is driven largely by resource and signalpower intelligence,struggles Nigeria'srather militarythan continuesreligious fightingtargeting, blindand insteadclaims of conductinga proactiveChristian forestgenocide operationsmisread toNigeria’s stopcomplex thesesecurity sectarian assaultsreality.

DespiteTerrorists theare recentsystematically incident,targeting securityChristian forcescommunities in Kogi State areduring gainingChristmas groundseason againstwith bandits,coordinated withpre-dawn attackersattacks, neutralizedkilling withworshippers supportand fromabducting thecongregants civilianwhile populationsecurity andforces armyarrive andonly policeafter unitsattackers deployedhave tovanished protectinto communitiesforests. SinceIntelligence Presidentwarnings Tinubufrom tookU.S. office,experts moreabout thanplanned 13,500Christmas fightersattacks havewent been killedunheeded, whileand talksdespite onstanding U.S.–Nigeriaagreements securitywith cooperationAmerican continuepartners throughfor diplomaticdrone channels.surveillance The violence is driven largely by resource and powersignal strugglesintelligence, ratherNigeria's thanmilitary religiouscontinues targeting,fighting andblind claimsinstead of aconducting Christianproactive genocideforest misreadoperations Nigeria’sto complexstop securitythese realitysectarian assaults.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 12 percent chance that the United States will conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0