Versions :<123456Live
Snapshot 6:Fri, Dec 12, 2025 3:18:40 PM GMT last edited by Nick

NATO Chief Warns Russia Could Attack Alliance in 5 Years

NATO Chief Warns Russia Could Attack Alliance in 5 Years

NATO Chief Warns Russia Could Attack Alliance in 5 Years
Above: Mark Rutte, NATO's secretary general at the Munich Security Conference in Berlin on Dec. 11, 2025. Image credit: Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg/Getty Images

The Spin

It's possible that Russia could attack NATO within five years, and Atlantic Alliance members are already in harm's way. Moscow has become increasingly brazen with hybrid warfare, including cyber- attacks, disinformation and drone incursions into allied airspace. Defense spending and production must rise rapidly now because time is not on NATO's side.

Russia has no plans to attack NATO and prioritizes peace and cooperation. NATO officials are running an orchestrated fear campaign to manipulate their populations, justify their own failures and distract from economic disasters at home. Any attack on Russia will be met with overwhelming force using every capability available.

ThereIt's ispossible a 40% chance that Russia willcould attack aNATO Europeanwithin NATOfive memberyears, beforeand 2035Atlantic Alliance members are already in harm's way. Moscow has become increasingly brazen with hybrid warfare, accordingincluding tocyber theattacks, Metaculusdisinformation predictionand communitydrone incursions into allied airspace. Defense spending and production must rise rapidly now because time is not on NATO's side.

Russia has no plans to attack NATO and prioritizes peace and cooperation. NATO officials are running an orchestrated fear campaign to manipulate their populations, justify their own failures and distract from economic disasters at home. Any attack on Russia will be met with overwhelming force using every capability available.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 40% chance that Russia will attack a European NATO member before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



Go Deeper


Articles on this story



© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0