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M23 Rebels Seize Uvira; 413 Civilians Killed in Congo

M23 Rebels Seize Uvira; 413 Civilians Killed in Congo

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The Spin

The well-intended Trump-backed peace framework is being eroded by militias and foreign interference that feed on eastern Congo’s entrenched instability. The recent killings highlight the need for stronger regional coordination, credible monitoring and real pressure on all armed actors. U.S. engagement remains crucial to restrain spoilers, ease cross-border tensions and prevent a wider regional conflagration. Trump can help facilitate peace, not dictate it.

Trump’s so-called peace deal collapsed because it ignored the political interests shaping eastern Congo’s war. By shielding strategic partners and prioritizing optics, it allowed militias to grow stronger and violence to spread. The U.S. aimed to preserve a manageable status quo rather than confront the forces sustaining the conflict, making renewed massacres inevitable once the deal unraveled. However, exploiting Congo’s resources may not require peace.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 60 percent chance that the Democratic Republic of Congo will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0