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Snapshot 12:Thu, Dec 11, 2025 7:23:56 PM GMT last edited by Nick

Supreme Court Hears Alabama Death Row IQ Threshold Case

Supreme Court Hears Alabama Death Row IQ Threshold Case

Supreme Court Hears Alabama Death Row IQ Threshold Case
Above: The Contemplation of Justice statue outside the U.S. Supreme Court in Washington, D.C. on Dec. 8, 2025. Image credit: Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg/Getty Images

The Spin

Smith brutally murdered a man with a hammer and now wants to escape justice by claiming low IQ scores excuse his savage crime. He scored between 72 and 78 on five separate tests, consistently above Alabama's threshold. Liberal activists are demanding holistic clinical judgment that amounts to dueling expert witnesses helping killers game the system.

Alabama wants to execute someone who was placed in special education as a child and who learns at a level well below his age. Multiple IQ scores falling within the margin of error for intellectual disability, combined with documented adaptive functioning deficits, clearly meet the medical standards that SCOTUS has repeatedly affirmed cannot be reduced to a single number.

There'sSmith brutally murdered a 50%man chancewith thata capitalhammer punishmentand willnow bewants legalto inescape 41justice Uby claiming low IQ scores excuse his savage crime.S. StatesHe inscored 2035between 72 and 78 on five separate tests, accordingconsistently above Alabama's threshold. Liberal activists are demanding holistic clinical judgment that amounts to thedueling Metaculusexpert predictionwitnesses communityhelping killers game the system.

Alabama wants to execute someone who was placed in special education as a child and who learns at a level well below his age. Multiple IQ scores falling within the margin of error for intellectual disability, combined with documented adaptive functioning deficits, clearly meet the medical standards that SCOTUS has repeatedly affirmed cannot be reduced to a single number.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that capital punishment will be legal in at least 40 U.S. States in 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0