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Snapshot 5:Mon, Dec 8, 2025 6:51:29 PM GMT last edited by Vandita

Syria Marks First Anniversary of Assad Regime Collapse

Syria Marks First Anniversary of Assad Regime Collapse

Syria Marks First Anniversary of Assad Regime Collapse
Above: People celebrate the first anniversary of the fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime at Umayyad Square in Damascus on Dec. 8, 2025. Image credit: Bakr Al Kasem/Anadolu/Getty Images

The Spin

Syria'sThe transitionnew hasSyrian devolvedgovernment intosignifies sectarianthe repressionculmination whereof religiousdecades minoritiesof facelegitimate kidnappings,insurgent beatingsenergy andagainst threatsbrutal fromAssad securityrule, forcesfinally loyalgiving tothe AhmedSunni al-Sharaa.majority Thecontrol promisedafter freedomsgenerations haveof evaporatedsystemic ashumiliation. Alawites,Revolutionary Christiansanxiety andis Druzenatural nowwhen livedefending inhard-won fearfragile whilevictory government-affiliatedfrom gunmenforces terrorizeseeking communitiesto withrestore impunitythe old sectarian order. ThisAl-Sharaa’s isn'tregime liberationhas butreal astaying newpower authoritarianbecause orderit wherechannels Sunniauthentic extremistsgrassroots havepopular simplywill replacedrather onethan dictatorshipfragile withfactional anothercontrol.

TheSyria's newtransition Syrianhas governmentdevolved representsinto thesectarian culminationrepression ofwhere decadesreligious ofminorities legitimateface insurgentkidnappings, energybeatings againstand brutalthreats Assadfrom rule,security finallyforces givingloyal theto SunniAhmed majorityal-Sharaa. controlThe afterpromised generationsfreedoms ofhave humiliation.evaporated Revolutionaryas anxietyAlawites, isChristians naturaland whenDruze protectingnow hard-wonlive victoryin fromfear forceswhile seekinggovernment-affiliated togunmen restoreterrorize thecommunities oldwith sectarian orderimpunity. Al-SharaaThis isn'st regimeliberation hasbut reala stayingnew powerauthoritarian becauseorder itwhere channelsSunni authenticextremists popularhave will,simply notreplaced fragileone factionaldictatorship controlwith another.

A year after Bashar al-Assad's departure, Syria remains a land of shattered stones and tentative hope. Former prisoners hobble home to families — freed from hellish jails yet haunted by tuberculosis, anxiety and nights of terror. Cities scarred by war show faint signs of life: shops reopen, shattered homes slowly rebuilt by their owners. Across Damascus and Homs, crowds wave new flags in bittersweet celebration. The revolution brought freedom — but peace, justice and reconstruction remain fragile.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 10% chance that Syria will be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0