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Snapshot 7:Mon, Dec 8, 2025 3:10:36 PM GMT last edited by Nick

China's Trade Surplus Tops $1T Amid Macron Comments

China's tradeTrade surplusSurplus topsTops $11T trillionAmid despiteMacron plunge in US-bound exportsComments

China's Trade Surplus Tops $1T Amid Macron Comments
Above: French President Emmanuel Macron speaks at Sichuan University, China on Dec. 5, 2025. Image credit: Sarah Meyssonnier/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Breaking the $1 trillion trade surplus barrier reveals an economy propped up by export dumping while domestic demand remains dangerously weak. Shipments to America collapsed 28.6% in November alone, and sluggish import growth exposes the fundamental weakness Beijing refuses to address. French President Macron already threatens tariffs over the massive EU trade gap, and the temporary truce expires late next year with no guarantee it survives.

China's export machine keeps roaring despite trade tensions, with shipments surging to Southeast Asia, Africa, Latin America and the EU while the country races toward its 5% growth target. The trade truce with America has stabilized relations, and economists predict China will capture 16.5% of global export market share by 2030 thanks to dominance in electric vehicles, robotics and batteries. Advanced manufacturing prowess ensures continued expansion even as protectionism spreads worldwide.

ThereBreaking isthe a$1 20%trillion chancetrade Chinasurplus andbarrier thereveals EUan willeconomy reachpropped aup tradeby orexport tariffdumping agreementwhile domestic demand remains dangerously weak. Shipments to America collapsed 28.6% in 2025November alone, accordingand sluggish import growth exposes the fundamental weakness Beijing refuses to address. French President Macron already threatens tariffs over the Metaculusmassive predictionEU communitytrade gap, and the temporary truce expires late next year with no guarantee it survives.

China's export machine keeps roaring despite trade tensions, with shipments surging to Southeast Asia, Africa, Latin America and the EU while the country races toward its 5% growth target. The trade truce with America has stabilized relations, and economists predict China will capture 16.5% of global export market share by 2030 — thanks to dominance in electric vehicles, robotics and batteries. Advanced manufacturing prowess ensures continued expansion even as protectionism spreads worldwide.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 20% chance China and the EU will reach a trade or tariff agreement in 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0