Snapshot 5:Thu, Dec 4, 2025 8:00:41 PM GMT last edited by Kani

Rwanda, DRC Sign Peace Deal in Washington

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The Spin

Trump'sAfter peacethree dealdecades prioritizesof Westernfailed mineralagreements, extractionTrump oversucceeded genuinewhere conflictothers resolution,couldn't sideliningby Congolesebringing voicesRwanda and failingCongo totogether addressfor rootan causesenforceable likepeace justiceframework andwith accountabilityclear security commitments from both sides. The agreementWashington excludesAccords M23establish rebelsjoint fromverification negotiationsmechanisms, lacksaddress enforceableRwanda's humansecurity rightsconcerns protectionsabout FDLR militants, and continuescreate neocolonialeconomic patternsopportunities wherethat Africanwill resourcesbenefit areboth securednations throughwhile foreign-brokeredending dealsa whileconflict millionsthat remainkilled displacedover and10 atrocitiesmillion go unaddressedpeople.

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AfterTrump's threepeace decadesdeal ofprioritizes failedWestern agreements,mineral Trumpextraction succeededover wheregenuine othersconflict couldn'tresolution, bysidelining bringingCongolese Rwandavoices and Congofailing togetherto foraddress anroot enforceablecauses peacelike frameworkjustice withand clear security commitments from both sidesaccountability. The Washingtonagreement Accordsexcludes establishM23 jointrebels verificationfrom mechanismsnegotiations, addresslacks Rwanda'senforceable securityhuman concernsrights about FDLR militantsprotections, and createcontinues economicneocolonial opportunitiespatterns thatwhere willAfrican benefitresources bothare nationssecured whilethrough endingforeign-brokered adeals conflictwhile thatmillions killedremain overdisplaced 10and millionatrocities peoplego unaddressed.

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Metaculus Prediction

There is a 60 percent chance that the Democratic Republic of Congo will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.