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Snapshot 8:Thu, Dec 4, 2025 3:47:07 PM GMT last edited by David

Israel, Lebanon Hold First Direct Talks in Decades

Israel, Lebanon Hold First Direct Talks in Decades

Israel, Lebanon Hold First Direct Talks in Decades
Above: Smoke rises following the Israeli attack on a building in Nabatieh neighborhood in Beirut, Lebanon on March 28, 2025. Image credit: Houssam Shbaro/Getty Images

The Spin

Direct Israeli-Lebanese talks mark a rare breakthrough, but real stability depends on Lebanon finally enforcing its obligations. Hezbollah continues to stockpile Iranian weapons in civilian areas, openly defying U.N. resolutions and undermining any hope for peace. Israel cannot be expected to tolerate a terror army rebuilding on its border;. decisiveDecisive Lebanese action to disarm Hezbollah is essential before Israel is forced to neutralize the threat once again.

Hezbollah faces relentless pressure to disarm and surrender its military positions, but complete capitulation remains categorically rejected as Israeli violations of the ceasefire persist with ongoing strikes and occupation of Lebanese territory. Lebanon cannot consolidate weapons under state authority until Israel withdraws from occupied areas like Shebaa Farms, yet the Israeli regime maintains an illegal military presence while demanding Hezbollah's disarmament.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 35 percent chance that Lebanon will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0