The Canberra Times

'This is our home': Wong's unity call to Pacific Isles

Australian Financial Review (AFR)

First images of Chinese flotilla reveal assault ship

ABC News

New images show Chinese flotilla with formidable firepower in Philippine Sea

Firstpost

China warns of Pacific power projection as Australia competes for regional influence

AnewZ

Australia warns of Chinas opaque military expansion deep into Pacific

The Australian

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StratNews Global

Australia Warns of Chinas Expanding Military Reach in the Pacific

Janes

AD posture in Indo Pacific

The Asahi Shimbun

Chinese carriers in Pacific show countrys expansionist aims, Taiwan says

Newsweek

US Ally Issues Warning Over China Military Expansion in Pacific

Global Times

Australias China threat rhetoric harms its own long-term interests

Chinadaily

Pacific Ocean should not be turned into a sea of zero-sum disturbances: China Daily editorial

Metaculus

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Australia Minister for Foreign Affairs

Lt Col Ralph Honner Leadership Oration#:~:Text=China%20Continues%20To%20Assert%20Its,Stability%20That%20Rely%20Upon%20It.

MarioNawfal

Lloyd Austin

Mark Milley

Mike Minihan

Jacob Thornburg

Michael Brenner

Finian Cunningham

Scott Ritter

Ray Dalio

Kevin Rudd

Zhao Tong

Stanislaw Koziej

Robert S. Ross

Charles C. Krulak

Michael C. Horowitz

Joseph S. Nye

Qin Gang

Frank Kendall III

Thomas L. Friedman

Marco J. Lyons

"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong said China "continues to assert its strategic influence through economic and security means" and is more frequently, and opaquely, "projecting its military power further into our region."

Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong said China "continues to assert its strategic influence through economic and security means" and is more frequently, and opaquely, "projecting its military power further into our region."

Wong emphasized that collective security and prosperity in the Pacific depend on regional cooperation. Unity within forums like the Pacific Islands Forum empowers smaller nations "to counter power asymmetries" and ensure choices.

Wong emphasized that collective security and prosperity in the Pacific depend on regional cooperation. Unity within forums like the Pacific Islands Forum empowers smaller nations "to counter power asymmetries" and ensure choices.

A maritime surveillance company identified a Chinese flotilla being monitored by the Australian Defence Force. This includes a Landing Helicopter Dock ship capable of hosting up to 30 helicopters and approximately 1,000 marines.

A maritime surveillance company identified a Chinese flotilla being monitored by the Australian Defence Force. This includes a Landing Helicopter Dock ship capable of hosting up to 30 helicopters and approximately 1,000 marines.

Australia experienced A$20 billion in trade curbs from China in 2020-2023 during a political dispute and has since warned Pacific Island nations of the risks of economic coercion as they seek to boost trade with Beijing.

Australia experienced A$20 billion in trade curbs from China in 2020-2023 during a political dispute and has since warned Pacific Island nations of the risks of economic coercion as they seek to boost trade with Beijing.

Eleven Pacific Island countries maintain diplomatic ties with Beijing, with several heavily indebted to its banks. China has also improved its military capabilities vis-à-vis its anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) doctrine in the Indo-Pacific.

Eleven Pacific Island countries maintain diplomatic ties with Beijing, with several heavily indebted to its banks. China has also improved its military capabilities vis-à-vis its anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) doctrine in the Indo-Pacific.

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has worked to maintain the AUKUS nuclear submarine pact and Quad security dialogue while also warming up to Chinese leaders after they removed unfair trade bans on Australia.

Meanwhile, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has worked to maintain the AUKUS nuclear submarine pact and Quad security dialogue while also warming up to Chinese leaders after they removed unfair trade bans on Australia.

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Metaculus #

Australia Minister for Foreign Affairs #

Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong stated that China continues to assert its strategic influence through economic and security means and is more frequently projecting its military power further into the Pacific region without the transparency that the region expects.

Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong stated that China continues to assert its strategic influence through economic and security means and is more frequently projecting its military power further into the Pacific region without the transparency that the region expects.

A maritime surveillance company identified a Chinese flotilla being monitored by the Australian Defence Force that includes a Landing Helicopter Dock ship capable of hosting up to 30 helicopters and approximately 1,000 marines, representing a significant projection of naval power.

A maritime surveillance company identified a Chinese flotilla being monitored by the Australian Defence Force that includes a Landing Helicopter Dock ship capable of hosting up to 30 helicopters and approximately 1,000 marines, representing a significant projection of naval power.

Wong emphasized that collective security and prosperity in the Pacific depends on regional cooperation, stating that unity within forums like the Pacific Islands Forum empowers smaller nations to counter power asymmetries and ensure they have choices when pressure is applied.

Wong emphasized that collective security and prosperity in the Pacific depends on regional cooperation, stating that unity within forums like the Pacific Islands Forum empowers smaller nations to counter power asymmetries and ensure they have choices when pressure is applied.

Australia experienced trade restrictions worth A$20 billion from China between 2020 and 2023 during a political dispute and has since warned Pacific Island countries about the risks of economic coercion as they seek to boost trade with Beijing.

Australia experienced trade restrictions worth A$20 billion from China between 2020 and 2023 during a political dispute and has since warned Pacific Island countries about the risks of economic coercion as they seek to boost trade with Beijing.

Eleven Pacific Island countries currently maintain diplomatic ties with Beijing, with several including Tonga heavily indebted to Chinese state banks, while three South Pacific countries continue to recognize Taiwan.

Eleven Pacific Island countries currently maintain diplomatic ties with Beijing, with several including Tonga heavily indebted to Chinese state banks, while three South Pacific countries continue to recognize Taiwan.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has worked to maintain the AUKUS nuclear submarine pact and Quad security dialogue while also showing reverence to Chinese leaders after they removed unfair trade bans on Australian products and resumed high level business and military dialogue.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has worked to maintain the AUKUS nuclear submarine pact and Quad security dialogue while also showing reverence to Chinese leaders after they removed unfair trade bans on Australian products and resumed high level business and military dialogue.

China faces no actual security threat yet gets blamed for regional tensions while practicing long-term strategic restraint. The real troublemakers are US allies manufacturing confrontation through massive arms purchases and military exercises, all designed to benefit American weapons manufacturers. Australia and the Philippines serve as US puppets, hyping artificial threats to justify unnecessary military expansion that undermines regional peace.

China faces no actual security threat yet gets blamed for regional tensions while practicing long-term strategic restraint. The real troublemakers are US allies manufacturing confrontation through massive arms purchases and military exercises, all designed to benefit American weapons manufacturers. Australia and the Philippines serve as US puppets, hyping artificial threats to justify unnecessary military expansion that undermines regional peace.

China's aggressive military expansion represents a predetermined plan to control the Asia-Pacific, not a response to any particular administration. Beijing's illegal incursions and growing naval presence, including unprecedented dual carrier operations, reveal clear expansionist intentions that threaten regional stability and maritime trade routes critical to multiple nations.

China's aggressive military expansion represents a predetermined plan to control the Asia-Pacific, not a response to any particular administration. Beijing's illegal incursions and growing naval presence, including unprecedented dual carrier operations, reveal clear expansionist intentions that threaten regional stability and maritime trade routes critical to multiple nations.

The US-China Conflict

Australia Warns of China's Growing Pacific Military Presence

Australia

China

Military

China poses no actual security threat yet gets blamed for regional tensions while practising long-term strategic restraint. The real troublemakers are U.S. allies manufacturing confrontation through massive arms purchases and military exercises, all designed to benefit U.S. arms makers. Australia and the Philippines serve as US puppets, hyping such artificial threats.

China poses no actual security threat yet gets blamed for regional tensions while practising long-term strategic restraint. The real troublemakers are U.S. allies manufacturing confrontation through massive arms purchases and military exercises, all designed to benefit U.S. arms makers. Australia and the Philippines serve as US puppets, hyping such artificial threats.

There is a 50% chance that the People's Liberation Army Navy will lose at least one surface vessel before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 50% chance that the People's Liberation Army Navy will lose at least one surface vessel before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Australia Warns of China's Growing Pacific Military Presence

Australia Warns of China's Growing Pacific Military Presence

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Thornburg

Milley

Ritter

Krulak

Rudd

Nye

Tong

Friedman

III

Horowitz

Minihan

Go Deeper

Articles on this story

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Australia Warns of China's Growing Pacific Military Presence

Australia Warns of China's Growing Pacific Military Presence

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Thornburg

Milley

Ritter

Krulak

Rudd

Nye

Tong

Friedman

III

Horowitz

Minihan

Go Deeper

Articles on this story

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