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Snapshot 7:Mon, Dec 1, 2025 10:16:45 PM GMT last edited by Anna-Lisa

UK Unveils £170M Plan to End HIV Transmission by 2030

UK Unveils £170M Plan to End HIV Transmission by 2030

UK Unveils £170M Plan to End HIV Transmission by 2030
Above: U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer uses an HIV testing kit at 10 Downing Street in London on Feb. 7, 2025 Image credit: Lucy North/WPA Pool/Getty Images

The Spin

This bold plan, powered by its innovative opt-out testing, home testing and outreach programs, puts England on track to become the first country to end new HIV transmissions in just a few years. Medical advances mean people with HIV now live full, healthy lives without fear of transmitting it to others, making elimination achievable through smart investment in prevention and treatment rather than stigma and fear.

HIV diagnoses have surged to a 15-year high, driven overwhelmingly by migrants arriving from abroad — particularly from Africa — with over half of all new cases now originating outside England for the first time ever. Record migration levels are directly fueling this spike, directly threatening the 2030 goal to end transmissions. The solution is proper border health screening and resource allocation.

There'sThis abold 35%plan, chancepowered thatby moreits peopleinnovative willopt-out havetesting, home testing and outreach programs, puts England on track to become the first country to end new HIV/AIDS transmissions in 2037just thana infew 2017years. Medical advances mean people with HIV now live full, accordinghealthy lives without fear of transmitting it to theothers, Metaculusmaking predictionelimination communityachievable through smart investment in prevention and treatment rather than stigma and fear.

HIV diagnoses have surged to a 15-year high, driven overwhelmingly by migrants arriving from abroad — particularly from Africa — with over half of all new cases now originating outside England for the first time ever. Record migration levels are directly fueling this spike, directly threatening the 2030 goal to end transmissions. The solution is proper border health screening and resource allocation.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 35% chance that more people will have HIV/AIDS in 2037 than in 2017, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0