It's clear that Trump does hope that direct communication with and pressure on Maduro will eventually force Venezuela's dictator out of power without the need offor an attack, but Maduro is only using negotiations to buy time as Trump cannot offer him guarantees he will remain safe and out of jail. This is a game at which Maduro excels — and the only way to defeat him is not to play it.
Little is known about the Trump-Maduro phone call, a development that indicates that the U.S. wants a detente with Venezuela. It's unacceptable, though, that the U.S. insists on demanding Maduro to eventually step down, especially as its pressure campaign against a sovereign country lacks evidence supporting narcoterrorism claims.
There's a 40% chance that the U.S. will invade Venezuela before Jan. 20, 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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