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Snapshot 7:Sat, Nov 29, 2025 11:03:41 PM GMT last edited by KateHennig

Death Toll From Southeast Asia Floods Reaches 600

Death Toll From SouthernSoutheast Asia Floods Reaches Around 600

Death Toll From Southeast Asia Floods Reaches 600
Above: An aerial view shows a home surrounded by flood waters in Kangar in northern Malaysia's Perlis state on Nov. 28, 2025. Image credit: Mohd RASFAN/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

SystemicClimate corruptionchange inand Philippineenvironmental flooddestruction, controlnot projectscorruption, hasdrive stolenSoutheast billionsAsia's fromdeadly theflooding public,crisis enrichingthat politicianshas andkilled contractorshundreds whileacross leavingIndonesia, communitiesThailand defenselessand against disastersMalaysia. TheTropical unholyCyclone allianceSenyar's ofunprecedented lawmakers,formation bureaucrats,over auditorsthe andMalacca constructionStrait firmsdemonstrates operateshow withwarming brazenoceans impunity,intensify manipulatingmonsoons budgets and deliveringconcentrate ghostrainfall projectsinto insteadcatastrophic of protectionevents. ThisUnchecked criminaldeforestation, enterprisewetland hasdestruction drainedand billionsand overmining thehave yearsdestabilized landscapes, withturning investigationsnatural revealingweather identicalpatterns costsinto forcompound differentdisasters locationsthat whileoverwhelm thousandseven ofwell-prepared projects remain substandard or non-existentnations.

ClimateThese changefloods, andwhile environmental destructiontragic, notreflect corruptionnatural weather variability, drivenot Southeastanthropogenic Asia'sclimate deadlychange. floodingHistorical crisisrecords thatshow hascomparable killeddeluges hundredsin acrossthe Indonesiaregion, Thailandwith andrainfall Malaysia.patterns Tropicaldriven Cycloneby Senyar'smonsoon unprecedentedcycles formationand overlow-pressure thesystems Malacca Straitevents demonstratesthat howpredate warmingmodern oceansemissions. intensifyBlaming monsoonsCO2 anddiverts concentratefrom rainfallreal intoissues: catastrophicinadequate events.drainage Unchecked deforestationsystems, wetlandunchecked destructionurbanization on floodplains, and sandcorrupt miningallocation haveof destabilizeddisaster landscapes,funds turningthat naturalprioritize weatherelite patternscontracts intoover compoundresilient disastersinfrastructure. thatAddressing overwhelmthese evenwould well-preparedsave nationslives without futile global restrictions.

ThereSystemic iscorruption ain 50%Philippine chanceflood thatcontrol 3,566projects peoplehas (perstolen 100billions from the public,000) willenriching bepoliticians affectedand bycontractors naturalwhile leaving communities defenseless against disasters. inThe 2032unholy alliance of lawmakers, accordingbureaucrats, toauditors and construction firms operates with brazen impunity, manipulating budgets and delivering ghost projects instead of protection. This criminal enterprise has drained billion over the Metaculusyears, predictionwith communityinvestigations revealing identical costs for different locations while thousands of projects remain substandard or non-existent.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 50% chance that 3,566 people (per 100,000) will be affected by natural disasters in 2032, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0