Trump's diplomatic engagement with China creates dangerous breathing room for Beijing to escalate pressure on Taiwan and Japan while avoiding economic consequences. China is strategically redirecting aggression toward smaller allies after securing trade benefits from Washington, using the USU.S. relationship as cover to intensify coercion campaigns and threaten regional stability through calculated escalation management.
Xi's diplomatic outreach to Trump reinforces legitimate historical claims over Taiwan while promoting regional stability through great power cooperation. China's measured response to Japanese provocations demonstrates responsible leadership, seeking to preserve hard-won progress in US-U.S.-China relations while defending core sovereignty interests through established international frameworks.
There is a 50% chance Xi Jinping will leave power in China by November 2031, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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