Trump and China's leader Xi Jinping hold a call and discuss trade, Taiwan and Ukraine

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Trump says he will visit China in April after call with Xi

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US and Japan signal solidarity ahead of Trump-Xi talks  DW  10/28/2025

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Xi Jinping tells Donald Trump Taiwans return to China is core to post-war order: Report

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Trump touts extremely strong China relations after call with Xi

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Trump says very good phone call with Xi builds on fragile trade truce

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Donald Trump and Xi Jinping hold first call since trade truce

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Atmosphere of Xi-Trump phone call

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Xi talks with Trump over phone

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Marco J. Lyons

"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

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"China's nominal gross domestic product is unlikely to surpass that of the U.S. in the next few decades."

"This idea of China becoming the world's biggest economy may not happen, actually."

"China probably won't ever overtake the US economy on a sustained basis."

"The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the U.S. is declining."

"China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by around 2035."

"China will overtake the US as the world's top economy in about 2035 with a high probability."

"[T]he size of China's economy in USD terms will overtake the US in 2028."

"China will overtake the United States to become the world's biggest economy in 2028."

Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?

President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping conducted a phone call on Monday, with Trump announcing he accepted Xi's invitation to visit Beijing in April and reciprocated by inviting Xi for a state visit to the United States later in 2026.

President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping conducted a phone call on Monday, with Trump announcing he accepted Xi's invitation to visit Beijing in April and reciprocated by inviting Xi for a state visit to the United States later in 2026.

The phone conversation addressed multiple topics including Ukraine, fentanyl trafficking, soybean purchases and other agricultural products, with Trump describing their relationship as extremely strong following their October meeting in South Korea.

The phone conversation addressed multiple topics including Ukraine, fentanyl trafficking, soybean purchases and other agricultural products, with Trump describing their relationship as extremely strong following their October meeting in South Korea.

Xi Jinping emphasized during the call that Taiwan's return to China represents an integral part of the post-war international order, referencing how China and the United States fought together against fascism and militarism during World War II.

Xi Jinping emphasized during the call that Taiwan's return to China represents an integral part of the post-war international order, referencing how China and the United States fought together against fascism and militarism during World War II.

The discussion occurred amid rising tensions between China and Japan over Taiwan, following Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's recent statement that Japan's military could intervene if China took action against the self-governing island.

The discussion occurred amid rising tensions between China and Japan over Taiwan, following Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's recent statement that Japan's military could intervene if China took action against the self-governing island.

Both leaders addressed the Ukraine crisis during their conversation, with Xi expressing support for all efforts conducive to peace and hope for a fair, lasting and binding peace agreement that would resolve the crisis at its root.

Both leaders addressed the Ukraine crisis during their conversation, with Xi expressing support for all efforts conducive to peace and hope for a fair, lasting and binding peace agreement that would resolve the crisis at its root.

The call built upon their October meeting in Busan, South Korea, where they reached a temporary trade agreement including China's commitment to purchase American soybeans and a one-year pause on Chinese export controls of rare earth materials.

The call built upon their October meeting in Busan, South Korea, where they reached a temporary trade agreement including China's commitment to purchase American soybeans and a one-year pause on Chinese export controls of rare earth materials.

Trump, Xi Plan State Visits Amid Taiwan, Ukraine Talks

Trump, toXi VisitPlan BeijingState inVisits AprilAmid Taiwan, HostUkraine Xi in 2026Talks

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Trump, Xi Plan State Visits Amid Taiwan, Ukraine Talks

Trump, toXi VisitPlan BeijingState inVisits AprilAmid Taiwan, HostUkraine Xi in 2026Talks

The Controversies

Thornburg

Milley

Ritter

Krulak

Rudd

Nye

Tong

Friedman

III

Horowitz

Minihan

JCER

Magnus

Economics

Prasad

Sachs

Times

Subbaraman

Research

Go Deeper

Articles on this story

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