Mark Carneys budget narrowly passes, winter election averted
Toronto Star3 days
Canada: Carney's Liberals Survive Budget Vote 170-168, Avoid Election
Canada: Carney's Liberals Survive Budget Vote 170-168, Avoid Election
Above: **Watermarked Getty Image. Kindly Replace** Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney exits the House of Commons after attending Question Period on Parliament Hill on Monday in Ottawa, Canada. Image credit: Dave Chan/AFP/Getty Images
The Spin
Carney's leadership transformation has revitalized the Liberal brand and earned cross-party support for critical nation-building initiatives. The budget's infrastructure spending and immigration reforms won approval from 76% and 74% of Canadians respectively, with even Alberta showing unprecedented support for Liberal policies. This strategic pivot from Trudeau's approach proves effective leadership can reshape party fortunes and unite the country.
The razor-thin budget victory exposes deep fractures across all parties and Carney's overconfident governing style that nearly triggered an unwanted election. Multiple Conservative MPs are reportedly uneasy with Poilievre while Liberal MPs question distancing from Trudeau's legacy. The NDP remains leaderless and divided, with the budget only surviving through desperate last-minute deals and abstentions rather than genuine support.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 4% chance that the U.S. will annex any part of Canada before June 3, 2072, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.18.0