Lloyd Austin

Mark Milley

Mike Minihan

Jacob Thornburg

Michael Brenner

Finian Cunningham

Scott Ritter

Ray Dalio

Kevin Rudd

Zhao Tong

Stanislaw Koziej

Robert S. Ross

Charles C. Krulak

Michael C. Horowitz

Joseph S. Nye

Qin Gang

Frank Kendall III

Thomas L. Friedman

Marco J. Lyons

Global Times

Metaculus

"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

Andrew Ng

Eric Schmidt

Chuck Schumer

Brad Smith

Nestor Maslej

Ruth Porat

Ylli Bajraktari

Bruegel

National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence

Brandon J. Weichert

Clement Delangue

Zhou Hongyi

Joseph Tsai

Huey-Meei Chang

Craig S. Smith

Jeffrey Ding

Ray Perrault

Susana Martinez

Niall Ferguson

Larry Elliot

Marcel Munch

Pavel Durov

John Rush

"I think, today, [China is] probably two years behind the top [AI] models [from the US]."

"Where China sits [in AI], I think, is very far behind the US."

"The United States is in a strong position to win the essential [AI] race with China."

"China will dominate AI."

"The combination with China's self-made chips + AI infrastructure stack will put China ahead of the US."

China would "undoubtedly come out on top [in the US-China AI race]."

"[I]t seems like the United States is really far ahead [when it comes to generative AI]."

"China will lead the world in AI development."

In 2025, "China will start to lead the AI race (as a consequence of leading the open-source AI race)."

Will China Surpass the US in AI?

ASIO Director-General Mike Burgess announced at a Melbourne business forum that Australia has reached the threshold for high-impact sabotage threats, with cyber-enabled espionage estimated to cost the economy $12.5 billion in 2023-24.</span

The Nightly

The Sydney Morning Herald

ASIO Director-General Mike Burgess announced at a Melbourne business forum that Australia has reached the threshold for high-impact sabotage threats, with cyber-enabled espionage estimated to cost the economy $12.5 billion in 2023-24.

Chinese hacking groups Salt Typhoon and Volt Typhoon, identified as working for Chinese government intelligence and military, have been probing Australian telecommunications networks and critical infrastructure systems.</span

News.com.au

ABC News

Chinese hacking groups Salt Typhoon and Volt Typhoon, identified as working for Chinese government intelligence and military, have been probing Australian telecommunications networks and critical infrastructure systems.

Salt Typhoon penetrated United States telecommunications systems for espionage purposes and has also been probing Australian telecommunication networks, according to intelligence assessments presented to business leaders.</span

The Canberra Times

Bloomberg.com

Salt Typhoon penetrated United States telecommunications systems for espionage purposes and has also been probing Australian telecommunication networks, according to intelligence assessments presented to business leaders.

Volt Typhoon compromised American critical infrastructure networks to pre-position for potential sabotage, giving China the capability to disable telecommunications and other essential services during conflicts or crises.</span

Observer Voice

The Times of India

Volt Typhoon compromised American critical infrastructure networks to pre-position for potential sabotage, giving China the capability to disable telecommunications and other essential services during conflicts or crises.

Australian intelligence officials warn that authoritarian regimes are targeting water, transport, telecommunications and energy networks using sophisticated tradecraft to maintain persistent undetected access for future sabotage operations.</span

Guardian

The Jerusalem Post

Australian intelligence officials warn that authoritarian regimes are targeting water, transport, telecommunications and energy networks using sophisticated tradecraft to maintain persistent undetected access for future sabotage operations.

Security experts estimate that cyber-enabled sabotage of critical infrastructure could cost Australia's economy $1.1 billion per incident, with economy-wide week-long disruptions potentially reaching $6 billion in damages.</span

Security experts estimate that cyber-enabled sabotage of critical infrastructure could cost Australia's economy $1.1 billion per incident, with economy-wide week-long disruptions potentially reaching $6 billion in damages.

Artificial Intelligence

The US-China Conflict

China’s cyber soldiers could inflict ‘high-impact sabotage’ on Australia, ASIO boss says

ASIO Warns: Chinese Hackers Target Australia's Infrastructure

China’sASIO cyberWarns: soldiersChinese couldHackers inflictTarget ‘high-impact sabotage’ on Australia,'s ASIO boss saysInfrastructure

The Controversies

Thornburg

Milley

Ritter

Krulak

Rudd

Nye

Tong

Friedman

III

Horowitz

Minihan

Tsai

Ding

Smith

Rush

Munch

Hongyi

Maslej

Martinez

Delangue

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