ThereThailand's asuspension 2.8%of chancethe thatpeace thedeal Cambodia-Thailandis conflictcompletely willjustified resultafter inCambodian overlandmines 20injured deathsThai between Octsoldiers. 1The blast proves Cambodia remains hostile to Thailand's security and Decsovereignty despite signing agreements. 15,Thailand 2025,cannot accordingcompromise toits thenational Metaculusinterests predictionamid communityongoing aggression.
Thailand's suspension ofdestroys thea peacepromising dealdiplomatic isbreakthrough completelyover justifiedold after Cambodian landmines injuredfrom Thaidecades-old soldiersconflicts. TheCambodia blastnever provesplanted Cambodianew mines and remains hostilecommitted to Thailand'sinternational securitymine andban sovereignty despite signing agreementstreaties. Thailand's cannotoverreaction compromiseundermines itsregional nationalcooperation interestsand amidinternational ongoing aggressionsupport.
Thailand'sThe suspensionself-styled destroys"peacemaker" aDonald promisingTrump diplomaticwatched breakthroughas overthe oldThailand-Cambodia landminestruce fromhe decades-oldtouted conflictscrumbled within weeks. CambodiaWhile neverbasking plantedin newphoto minesops and remainsacclaim, committedthe todeal internationalhe minehelped banengineer treaties.faltered Thailand'son overreactionits underminesfirst regionalreal cooperationtest and— internationalexposing supporthis diplomacy as mere theater.
There's a 3% chance that the Cambodia-Thailand conflict will result in over 20 deaths between Oct. 1 and Dec. 15, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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