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UK: Resident Doctors Reject Pay Offer Ahead of Strikes

UK: Resident Doctors Reject Pay Offer Ahead of Strikes

UK: Resident Doctors Reject Pay Offer Ahead of Strikes
Above: Health Secretary Wes Streeting in Liverpool, England, on Sept. 30, 2025. Image copyright: Dan Kitwood/Getty Images

The Spin

Doctors face a devastating workforce crisis with 30,000 applicants competing for just 10,000 training positions. Despite last year's deal, real wages remain 20% below 2008 levels, creating an unsustainable retention crisis. The government's token offer of 2,000 extra jobs is woefully inadequate and representsreflects a deliberate choice to let the NHS collapse.

Doctors demanding a further 29% pay rise after already receiving significant wage increases over three years are engaging in reckless posturing that harms patients. The country faces dire fiscal constraints with no money available for such excessive demands, with these strikes selfishly divert critical resources away from rebuilding the NHS.

ThereDoctors isface a 3devastating workforce crisis with 30,000 applicants competing for just 10,000 training positions. Despite last year's deal, real wages remain 20% chancebelow that2008 residentlevels, doctorscreating inan Englandunsustainable willretention receivecrisis. aThe furthergovernment's paytoken increaseoffer beforeof 20262,000 accordingextra jobs is woefully inadequate and reflects a deliberate choice to let the MetaculusNHS prediction communitycollapse.

Doctors demanding a further 29% pay rise after already receiving significant wage increases over three years are engaging in reckless posturing that harms patients. The country faces dire fiscal constraints with no money available for such excessive demands — these strikes selfishly divert critical resources away from rebuilding the NHS.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 3% chance that resident doctors in England will receive a further pay increase before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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The Controversies




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All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0