Democrats Sweep Virginia, New Jersey Governor Races
Democrats Sweep VAVirginia, NJNew Jersey Governor Races
The Spin
The government shutdown devastated Republican chances in these elections. Voters understandably punished the party in power, regardless of who's truly responsible for the crisis. Despite these losses, Virginia remains on the right track with strong performance on jobs, education and public safety. and Republicans will be fine for the 2026 midterms.
Trump's toxic brand destroyed Republicans from coast to coast, not just in Virginia and New Jersey. Voters rejected chaos, cynicism and fear-mongering about transgender issues and crime, focusing instead on everyday problems, like grocery costs. The anti-Trump anger that powered these Democratic victories will keep intensifying.
There'sThe agovernment 69shutdown devastated Republican chances in these elections.6% chanceVoters thatunderstandably punished the Democratsparty willin holdpower, theregardless mostof seatswho's intruly responsible for the Ucrisis.S. HouseDespite ofthese Representativeslosses, afterVirginia remains on the 2026right electionstrack with strong performance on jobs, accordingeducation toand public safety. Republicans will be fine for the Metaculus2026 prediction communitymidterms.
Trump's toxic brand destroyed Republicans from coast to coast, not just in Virginia and New Jersey. Voters rejected chaos, cynicism and fear-mongering about transgender issues and crime, focusing instead on everyday problems, like grocery costs. The anti-Trump anger that powered these Democratic victories will keep intensifying.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 69.6% chance that the Democrats will hold the most seats in the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2026 elections, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
Public Figures
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