Democrats Sweep VA, NJ Governor Races
Democrats Sweep VA, NJ Governor Races; Spanberger Makes History
The Spin
The government shutdown devastated Republican chances in Virginiathese and New Jersey elections. WithVoters 330,000understandably governmentpunished workersthe notparty gettingin paidpower, votersregardless understandablyof punishedwho's thetruly party responsible for the crisis. Despite these losses, Virginia remains on the right track with strong performance on jobs, education and public safety and Republicans will be fine for 2026 midterms.
Trump's toxic brand destroyed Republicans acrossfrom thecoast mapto coast, fromnot Virginia'sjust 13-seatin HouseVirginia lossand to New Jersey's 13-point gubernatorial defeat. Voters rejected chaos, cynicism and fear-mongering about transgender issues and crime, focusing instead on realeveryday problems, like grocery costs. The anti-Trump anger that powered these Democratic victories iswill onlykeep intensifying.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 69.6% chance that the Democrats will hold the most seats in the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2026 elections, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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