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Snapshot 5:Tue, Nov 4, 2025 10:31:07 PM GMT last edited by Nick

Report: US Seeks UN Security Council Approval of Gaza Force

Report: US Seeks UN Security Council Approval of Gaza Force

Report: US Seeks UN Security Council Approval of Gaza Force
Above: Hamas militants guard an area where they are searching for the bodies of hostages in Gaza City on Nov. 3, 2025 Image copyright: Omar al-Qattaa/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Though the future will be challenging, it is essential that both Israel and Hamas stick to the ceasefire. Of course, many aspects of the deal are potentially problematic, but nothing is gained from returning to war. Hamas must follow through with what it agreed to, and, in turn, Israel should not escalate the situation.

Hamas is saying one thing and doing another. With support from its backers in Doha and Ankara, Hamas believes that if it pays lip service to Trump's plan, it can do as it pleases and achieve the outcome it wants. Hamas wants to keep its arms and stay in power in Gaza, and the group's main backers — which are nominally U.S. allies — have done nothing to curb this violent and dangerous behavior.

There'sThough athe 16%future chancewill be challenging, it is essential that both Israel willand takeHamas controlstick to the ceasefire. Of course, many aspects of Gazathe Citydeal beforeare Janpotentially problematic, but nothing is gained from returning to war. 20Hamas must follow through with what it agreed to, 2029and, accordingin toturn, theIsrael Metaculusshould predictionnot communityescalate the situation.

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Metaculus Prediction

There's a 15% chance that Israel will take control of Gaza City before Jan. 20, 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0