Report: US Seeks UN Security Council Approval of Gaza Force
Report: US Seeks UN Security Council Approval of Gaza Force
The Spin
Though the future will be challenging, it is essential that both Israel and Hamas stick to the ceasefire. Of course, many aspects of the deal are potentially problematic, but nothing is gained from returning to war. Hamas must follow through with what it agreed to, and, in turn, Israel should not escalate the situation.
Hamas is saying one thing and doing another. With support from its backers in Doha and Ankara, Hamas believes that if it pays lip service to Trump's plan, it can do as it pleases and achieve the outcome it wants. Hamas wants to keep its arms and stay in power in Gaza, and the group's main backers — which are nominally U.S. allies — have done nothing to curb this violent and dangerous behavior.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 16% chance that Israel will take control of Gaza City before Jan. 20, 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
There'sThough athe 16%future chancewill be challenging, it is essential that both Israel willand takeHamas controlstick to the ceasefire. Of course, many aspects of Gazathe Citydeal beforeare Janpotentially problematic, but nothing is gained from returning to war. 20Hamas must follow through with what it agreed to, 2029and, accordingin toturn, theIsrael Metaculusshould predictionnot communityescalate the situation.
Hamas is saying one thing and doing another. With support from its backers in Doha and Ankara, Hamas believes that if it pays lip service to Trump's plan, it can do as it pleases and achieve the outcome it wants. Hamas wants to keep its arms and stay in power in Gaza, and the group's main backers — which are nominally U.S. allies — have done nothing to curb this violent and dangerous behavior.
As always, Israel is doing everything it can to undermine and sabotage the ceasefire so that it can return to its genocidal campaign. Already, Israel has killed scores of Palestinians under false pretenses, and the only reason the situation has not escalated is that Trump pressured Netanyahu to maintain the ceasefire. Israeli forces have violated the ceasefire repeatedly, and it is up to the United States and the international community to prevent further Palestinian bloodshed.
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