Trump's nuclear testing directive represents essential modernization to counter adversaries who've been secretly testing for years. Energy Secretary Wright confirmed these noncritical system tests will ensure America's nuclear deterrent remains superior while Russia and China advance their capabilities through covert underground testing that monitoring systems can't detect.
Trump's reckless nuclear testing announcement threatens decades of nonproliferation progress and could trigger a dangerous arms race. His unsubstantiated claims about secret Chinese and Russian testing lack evidence, while experts warn that breaking the testing moratorium would destabilize global security and provide justification for other nations to expand their own programs.
There is an 8.5 percent chance that the U.S. will conduct a nuclear test explosion before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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