Nicolas Maduro

Evo Morales

Christopher Sabatini

William Freer

Olga Bazova

Freemason

Viri Rios

Metaculus

"There’s no way they [US troops] can enter Venezuela."

"I don't think the USA is going to invade Venezuela."

The Trump administration "has shown no signs so far of clear intent for direct military action."

"No one in their right mind thinks that with 4,500 people you can invade a country that's got mountains, jungle and multiple urban centers."

"It appears as if Mr. Peace President is looking into invading Venezuela under the pretext that the whole country is an illegal drug cartel and Maduro is a fugitive and an illegitimate president."

"It is my belief the United States will invade and Occupy Venezuela by Jan 2026."

Will the US Invade Venezuela?

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced that U.S. military forces conducted three strikes on Monday targeting four vessels in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, resulting in 14 deaths and one survivor according to official statements.</span

FOX News

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced that U.S. military forces conducted three strikes on Monday targeting four vessels in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, resulting in 14 deaths and one survivor according to official statements.

The strikes targeted vessels that intelligence agencies identified as transiting known narcotics trafficking routes while carrying drugs, with eight individuals killed in the first strike and four and three in subsequent strikes.</span

Military.com

BBC News

The strikes targeted vessels that intelligence agencies identified as transiting known narcotics trafficking routes while carrying drugs, with eight individuals killed in the first strike and four and three in subsequent strikes.

Mexican search and rescue authorities accepted responsibility for coordinating the rescue of the sole survivor from the strikes, though the current condition and whereabouts of this individual remain unclear.</span

Pete Hegseth

Guardian

Mexican search and rescue authorities accepted responsibility for coordinating the rescue of the sole survivor from the strikes, though the current condition and whereabouts of this individual remain unclear.

The Monday strikes bring the total death toll from similar operations since early September to at least 51 people, with most previous strikes occurring in Caribbean waters off the coast of South America.</span

The Monday strikes bring the total death toll from similar operations since early September to at least 51 people, with most previous strikes occurring in Caribbean waters off the coast of South America.

Republican Senator Rand Paul from Kentucky has criticized these military operations as extrajudicial killings and stated that Congress has received no information about the strike campaign from the administration.</span

Republican Senator Rand Paul from Kentucky has criticized these military operations as extrajudicial killings and stated that Congress has received no information about the strike campaign from the administration.

The strikes have drawn regional condemnation and raised questions about their legality, while escalating tensions between the United States and governments of both Colombia and Venezuela according to multiple reports.</span

The strikes have drawn regional condemnation and raised questions about their legality, while escalating tensions between the United States and governments of both Colombia and Venezuela according to multiple reports.

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The US-Venezuela Conflict

US Military Strikes Kill 14 in Pacific Drug Trafficking Op

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US Military Strikes Kill 14 in Pacific Drug Trafficking Op

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US Military Strikes Kill 14 in Pacific Drug Trafficking Op

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