Guardian

Donald Trump and Japans Sanae Takaichi sign agreement to secure rare earths supply

Centre for Economics and Business Research

Capital Economics

S&P Global

Goldman Sachs

Global Times

George Magnus

Eswar Prasad

Nathan Sheets

Desmond Lachman

Statista

Rob Subbaraman

JCER

Chris Giles

Metaculus

"China's nominal gross domestic product is unlikely to surpass that of the U.S. in the next few decades."

"This idea of China becoming the world's biggest economy may not happen, actually."

"China probably won't ever overtake the US economy on a sustained basis."

"The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the U.S. is declining."

"If China grows by a more moderate 4% over the long term, its GDP will exceed that of the US eight years later, in 2046."

"China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by around 2035."

"China will overtake the US as the world's top economy in about 2035 with a high probability."

"[T]he size of China's economy in USD terms will overtake the US in 2028."

"China will overtake the United States to become the world's biggest economy in 2028."

Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?

Elon Musk

The Guardian

Hiroshi Yoshida

Roos van Keulen

Chris Weller

Nippon.Com

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Chay Bowes


Aaron Bastani


Jared Taylor

John Davis, LL.M

Japan "could effectively disappear by 2200 as a nation."

In 700 years, "there will be no more Japanese."

"Japan will perish by about 2056 because men are refusing to have intimate relationships with the women."

"The country's population will be just 500 by the year 3000, and just one by 3500."

"Within the next 1,750 years, the Japanese people could be no more."

"Japan may become the first country to become extinct due to the declining birth rate."

Will Japan's Population Go Extinct?

U.S. President Donald Trump and Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi on Tuesday signed a framework agreement to secure critical mineral and rare-earth supply chains essential to electronics and renewable energy.

The Telegraph

Eric Daugherty

U.S. President Donald Trump and Japan's Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi on Tuesday signed a framework agreement to secure critical mineral and rare-earth supply chains essential to electronics and renewable energy.

China processes more than 90% of the world's rare earths and has recently expanded export controls, while the U.S. has only one operational rare earth mine and is racing to secure minerals vital for electric vehicles and manufacturing.

Nikkei Asia

China processes more than 90% of the world's rare earths and has recently expanded export controls, while the U.S. has only one operational rare earth mine and is racing to secure minerals vital for electric vehicles and manufacturing.

Takaichi, who gifted Trump a golf bag signed by Hideki Matsuyama and Prime Minister Abe's putter, is expected to offer a package of U.S. investments under a $550 billion deal agreed this year, including shipbuilding and increased purchases of U.S. soybeans, natural gas and pickup trucks.

Al Jazeera

Margo Martin

Takaichi, who gifted Trump a golf bag signed by Hideki Matsuyama and Prime Minister Abe's putter, is expected to offer a package of U.S. investments under a $550 billion deal agreed this year, including shipbuilding and increased purchases of U.S. soybeans, natural gas and pickup trucks.

The Japanese Prime Minister pledged to fast-track defense spending plans to reach 2% of GDP this year, two years ahead of schedule, as part of efforts to address regional security concerns regarding China's assertiveness.

Fox 28 Spokane

The Washington Post

The Japanese Prime Minister pledged to fast-track defense spending plans to reach 2% of GDP this year, two years ahead of schedule, as part of efforts to address regional security concerns regarding China's assertiveness.

Trump praised Japan as "a great ally" saying, "I want to just let you know — any time you have any question, any doubt, anything you want, any favors you need, anything I can do to help Japan, we will be there." Meanwhile, Takaichi said she planned to nominate Trump for a Nobel Peace Prize.

Newsmax

Trump praised Japan as "a great ally" saying, "I want to just let you know — any time you have any question, any doubt, anything you want, any favors you need, anything I can do to help Japan, we will be there." Meanwhile, Takaichi said she planned to nominate Trump for a Nobel Peace Prize.

This comes as Trump is scheduled to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week in South Korea, where negotiators from both countries have indicated that a framework for a trade agreement has been established to ease ongoing tensions.

Energy News

This comes as Trump is scheduled to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week in South Korea, where negotiators from both countries have indicated that a framework for a trade agreement has been established to ease ongoing tensions.

abc.net.au

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Trump's rare-earth deal with Japan is mere theater, light on enforceable specifics, while Beijing tightens its grip on 90% of global processing. Signed ahead of high-stakes China talks, it risks provoking trade wars and ignoring domestic mining hurdles, such as by permitting delays. This posturing burdens allies without addressing U.S. vulnerabilities.

Trump's rare-earth deal with Japan is mere theater, light on enforceable specifics, while Beijing tightens its grip on 90% of global processing. Signed ahead of high-stakes China talks, it risks provoking trade wars and ignoring domestic mining hurdles, such as by permitting delays. This posturing burdens allies without addressing U.S. vulnerabilities.

Al Jazeera #6661

US-China now in a ‘very different kind of trade war’, experts warn

There's a 50% chance that China's share of rare earth production will be 51.5% in 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's a 50% chance that China's share of rare earth production will be 51.5% in 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

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Chinese Rare Earth Production Share in 2030

Bloomberg.com

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Us Shouldn T Need Another Warning On China Rare Earth Monopoly

This landmark framework agreement with Japan on critical minerals and rare earths counters China's export controls that threaten U.S. tech and defense industries. This deal boosts mining, processing and investment, fosters diversified supply chains for EVs, renewables and electronics, and heralds a "new golden age" of U.S.-Japan ties, enhancing economic resilience.

This landmark framework agreement with Japan on critical minerals and rare earths counters China's export controls that threaten U.S. tech and defense industries. This deal boosts mining, processing and investment, fosters diversified supply chains for EVs, renewables and electronics, and heralds a "new golden age" of U.S.-Japan ties, enhancing economic resilience.

Trump White House

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United States - Japan Framework for Securing the Supply of Critical Minerals and Rare Earths through Mining and Processing

Andrew Harnik/Getty Images