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Snapshot 11:Sun, Oct 26, 2025 5:39:56 PM GMT last edited by JoseMoura

Argentina: Voters Head to the Polls in Midterms

Argentina: VotesVoters inHead Keyto Midtermthe ElectionPolls Testingin MileiMidterms

Above: A voter casts his ballot at a polling station in Buenos Aires on Oct. 26, 2025. Image credit: *** GETTY *** Tobias Skarlovnik/Getty Images

The Spin

Milei's move-fast-and-break-things approach is crumbling as lawmakers overwhelmingly overturn his vetoes and corruption scandals plague his party leadership. Financial conditions continue deteriorating while promised US aid remains vague and delayed until after the midterms. With his party holding minimal congressional seats and facing likely underperformance, Milei appears politically wounded and increasingly unable to implement his unpopular reform agenda.

Milei has delivered remarkable results, slashing inflation, balancing the budget and pulling millions of people out of poverty in under two years. The current economic turbulence stems from Peronistthe sabotageopposition's as they deliberately pass fiscally irresponsible bills to undermine Argentina's hard-won stability. Sunday'sArgentina election will determinechoose whether Argentinato continuescontinue its escape from decades of economic mismanagement or returnsto return to the destructive policies that created the crisis Milei inherited.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 55% chance that Javier Milei will be reelected as president of Argentina before Jan. 1, 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0