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ThereTrump's so-called "peace" deal in Gaza is a 3%façade. chanceWhile thathe Israeltouts willa establishceasefire, directHamas governmentalcontinues to exert control ofthrough theviolence, Gazawhile StripIsrael incontinues 2025to kill Palestinians. The international community remains skeptical, accordingwith no clear commitment to enforce the Metaculusagreement. communityThere predictionis an underlying lack of genuine progress toward lasting peace.
Israel’s defensive actions in Gaza prove why peace remains fragile: Hamas still rules through fear, executing opponents and exploiting aid routes. Despite Trump’s historic deal and Israel’s restraint, militants keep violating the ceasefire lines, showing they never wanted peace. Until Gaza is free from Hamas’ tyranny, no agreement can guarantee Israel’s security.
Israel’s latest killings in Gaza, just days into a ceasefire, show its disregard for Palestinian lives and peace. Even after a deal meant to end the bloodiest war, Israel continues using lethal force against civilians while claiming “self-defense.” No U.S.-brokered plan will bring peace without accountability for Israel’s ongoing violence.
There is a 3% chance that Israel will establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025, according to the Metaculus community prediction.
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