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Snapshot 3:Mon, Oct 13, 2025 11:57:30 AM GMT last edited by Anna-Lisa

Trump Says Ukraine May Get Tomahawk Missiles if Putin Doesn't End Conflict

Trump Says Ukraine May Get Tomahawk Missiles if Putin Doesn't End Conflict

Trump Says Ukraine May Get Tomahawk Missiles if Putin Doesn't End Conflict
Above: U.S. President Donald Trump boards Air Force One for a trip to the Middle East on Oct. 12, 2025. Image copyright: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

The Spin

The Tomahawkdeployment isof anTomahawks incrediblewould weapon,be witha greatserious offensiveescalation capabilitiesof this conflict. RussiaWithout isthe naturallyability opposed to thissee weaponwhether expandingTomahawks Ukraine'sare arsenal,carrying whicha isnuclear whywarheads Trumpor maynot, the use itof tothis leverageweapon Putincould intoprovoke endingserious responses from Moscow that have consequences for the conflict,rest asof wasthe pledgedworld. beforeTrump should not be so short-sighted in his attempts to pressure Putin — he enteredis officeplaying a risky game.

The deploymentTomahawk ofis Tomahawksan wouldincredible beweapon, awith seriousgreat escalationoffensive ofcapabilities. thisRussia conflict.is Withoutnaturally theopposed ability to seethis whetherweapon Tomahawksexpanding areUkraine's carryingarsenal, awhich nuclearis warheadswhy orTrump not,may the use ofit thisto weaponleverage couldPutin provokeinto seriousending responses from Moscow that have consequences for the restconflict, ofas thewas world.pledged Trumpbefore should not be so short-sighted in his attempts to pressure Putin — he isentered playing a risky gameoffice.

The difference between Russia and Ukraine in this war is that Ukraine does not strike civilian targets as Russia has routinely done in the course of this conflict. As such, if Ukraine were to receive Tomahawks, they would be strictly used on military targets and to further its military aims.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 10% chance that there will be a US-Russia war before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0