Metaculus

US-Russia War before 2050

Reuters

Trump Says He May Tell Putin He May Send Tomahawks Ukraine If War Not Settled 2025 10 12

FOX News

Trump mulls Tomahawk deliveries to Ukraine if Russia keeps war going

Forces News

Long-range missile puts Moscow in striking distance: US considers sending Tomahawks to Ukraine

The Standard

Trump says Ukraine could get long-range Tomahawk missiles capable of striking Moscow

Politico

Trump Putin Tomahawks Ukraine War Effort 00605994

Al Jazeera

Zelenskyy promises to only use Tomahawks against Russian military targets

TVP World

Kremlin extremely concerned US may give Kyiv Tomahawks

Daily Express US

Kremlin sends chilling warning to West over 'dramatic' escalation afte

Deccan Herald

Ukraine Missiles: Zelenskyy on Tomahawk Usage

TASS

Tomahawk launches to require US involvement, could end badly  Kremlin spokesman

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Antony Blinken

Jens Stoltenberg

Sergei Ryabkov

Kurt Volker

Alexander Stubb

Michael McCaul

NATO

Mircea Geoan

Michael R. Carpenter

Mark Rutte

Andriy Yermak

Julianne Smith

Robert Fico

Ukraine joining NATO "will never happen."

NATO hasn't "reached the point where it is prepared to offer membership or an invitation to Ukraine."

“As long as I am head of the Slovak government, I will direct the MPs that are under my control... never to agree to Ukraine's joining NATO.”

"We cannot admit Ukraine into NATO immediately."

Ukraine is "fully prepared and able to be a member of NATO."

We will take "concrete steps to bring Ukraine closer to NATO."

"Ukraine's path and bridge towards NATO membership is now irreversible."

"Ukraine is closer to NATO than ever before, and will continue on this path until [it] become[s] a member of our alliance."

"Ukraine will join NATO. It is not a question of if, but of when."

Will Ukraine Join NATO?

Alexander Lukashenko

William Burns

Dmitry Peskov

Fiona Hill

Sergei Markov

Oleksiy Reznikov

James Stavridis

Dmitry Medvedev

Barry Posen

James Acton

Kevin Ryan

Nicolo Fasola

Matthew Bunn

Steven Pifer

Harry Kazianis

Mikhail Kasyanov

Robert Gates

Mitt Romney

Alexey Zaitsev

Pat Buchanan

Nina Khrushcheva

William Alberque

Fabian Hoffmann

Stephen I. Schwartz

Olga Oliker

Ira Helfand

"I think it's extremely unlikely that he [Putin] would move in that [using tactical nuclear weapons] direction in the current conflict."

"I don't see Putin deciding to use a nuclear weapon."

"There are reasons to believe Moscow would not press the nuclear button."

"Though it is unlikely that Russia will use nuclear weapons in Ukraine, the risks are real."

Putin has sent many signals that "he will use battlefield nuclear weapons from his arsenal of 6,000 such weapons to win the war."

"Well, yes, he [Putin] would [launch a nuclear attack]."

Would Putin Detonate Nuclear Weapons in Ukraine?

U.S. President Donald Trump said Sunday that he may authorize deliveries of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine if Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin doesn't agree to get the conflict settled.

U.S. President Donald Trump said Sunday that he may authorize deliveries of Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine if Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin doesn't agree to get the conflict settled.

Ukraine has repeatedly lobbied for the long-range weapon, which is capable of striking targets approximately 1,500 miles away, and Trump said the issue was again raised by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy during two calls over the weekend.

Ukraine has repeatedly lobbied for the long-range weapon, which is capable of striking targets approximately 1,500 miles away, and Trump said the issue was again raised by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy during two calls over the weekend.

"They'd like to have Tomahawks," Trump said of the Ukrainians while aboard Air Force One on his way to Israel on Sunday. However, he added such a move would be "a step up," further stating that he would first discuss it with Putin before proceeding.

"They'd like to have Tomahawks," Trump said of the Ukrainians while aboard Air Force One on his way to Israel on Sunday. However, he added such a move would be "a step up," further stating that he would first discuss it with Putin before proceeding.

"Do they want to have Tomahawks going in their direction?" Trump said. "I don't think so. I think I might speak to Russia about that, in all fairness. I told that to President Zelenskyy, because Tomahawks are a new step of aggression. You understand that."

"Do they want to have Tomahawks going in their direction?" Trump said. "I don't think so. I think I might speak to Russia about that, in all fairness. I told that to President Zelenskyy, because Tomahawks are a new step of aggression. You understand that."

"Yeah, I might tell him that if the war is not settled, that we may very well — we may not, but we may do it," the U.S. leader added. "I think it's appropriate to bring up. I want to see the war settled."

"Yeah, I might tell him that if the war is not settled, that we may very well — we may not, but we may do it," the U.S. leader added. "I think it's appropriate to bring up. I want to see the war settled."

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Sunday that the issue of Tomahawks is of "extreme concern" to Russia, stating that the weapon is capable of carrying nuclear warheads. "What should the Russian Federation think? Just how should Russia react? Military experts overseas should understand this."

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Sunday that the issue of Tomahawks is of "extreme concern" to Russia, stating that the weapon is capable of carrying nuclear warheads. "What should the Russian Federation think? Just how should Russia react? Military experts overseas should understand this."

The Tomahawk is an incredible weapon, with great offensive capabilities. Russia would not like to see that flying towards its territory, that's why Trump may say to Putin that either you end this war or Ukraine will start receiving deliveries.

The Tomahawk is an incredible weapon, with great offensive capabilities. Russia would not like to see that flying towards its territory, that's why Trump may say to Putin that either you end this war or Ukraine will start receiving deliveries.

Tomahawks are a nuclear-capable weapon and if Russia sees this on its radar, with no way of knowing whether its carrying a nuclear warhead or not, how exactly should it respond to such a provocation? This issue is extremely serious and should be considered with the utmost seriousness.

Tomahawks are a nuclear-capable weapon and if Russia sees this on its radar, with no way of knowing whether its carrying a nuclear warhead or not, how exactly should it respond to such a provocation? This issue is extremely serious and should be considered with the utmost seriousness.

The difference between Russia and Ukraine in this war is that Ukraine does not strike civilian targets as Russia has routinely done in the course of this conflict. As such, if Ukraine were to receive Tomahawks, they would be strictly used on military targets and to further its military aims.

The difference between Russia and Ukraine in this war is that Ukraine does not strike civilian targets as Russia has routinely done in the course of this conflict. As such, if Ukraine were to receive Tomahawks, they would be strictly used on military targets and to further its military aims.

There is a 10% chance that there will be a US-Russia war before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 10% chance that there will be a US-Russia war before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Trump Says Ukraine May Get Tomahawk Missiles if Putin Doesn't End Conflict

Trump Says Ukraine May Get Tomahawk Missiles if Putin Doesn't End Conflict

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Trump Says Ukraine May Get Tomahawk Missiles if Putin Doesn't End Conflict

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Ryabkov

Smith

Fico

McCaul

Yermak

Blinken

Stubb

Rutte

Stoltenberg

Romney

Stavridis

Pifer

Alberque

Buchanan

Hill

Go Deeper

Articles on this story

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