An illegal coup attempt is underway forcing Rajoelina to flee the country, as rogue military units abandon their duty and join violent protesters threatening national stability. Elite forces are coordinating an armed takeover while the president maintains control and offers dialogue to resolve the crisis peacefully. The military breakdown endangers Madagascar's democratic institutions and threatens to plunge the nation into chaos.
MadagascarRajoelina's militaryfleeing the country is standingcause withfor thehope peoplefor against a brutalnation regimeon thatthe hasbrink killedof atcollapse. leastWith 22protests protesters.mounting Soldiersand aresoldiers refusing orders to shootact, theirhis ownresignation citizenscould prevent bloodshed and joininggive demonstrationsMadagascar aftera witnessingchance policefor violencea includingfresh severestart. beatingsRather caughtthan onclinging video.to Thepower, president'shis appointmentresignation ofopens militarythe officersdoor tofor a transitional government, revealsrenewed desperationnational dialogue, asand histhe authoritarianprospect crackdownof failsstability that has long been elusive.
There's a 13% chance that there will be a successful coup d’état in Africa before December 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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