Madagascar President Warns of Coup Attempt as Soldiers Join Protests

Above: A Malagasy soldier walks surrounded by protesters celebrating their arrival as they head to City Hall to address the population during protests calling for the resignation of President Andry Rajoelina in Antananarivo, on October 11, 2025. Image copyright: Luis Tato/Getty Images

The Spin

An illegal coup attempt is underway as rogue military units abandon their duty and join violent protesters threatening national stability. Elite forces are coordinating an armed takeover while the president maintains control and offers dialogue to resolve the crisis peacefully. The military breakdown endangers Madagascar's democratic institutions and threatens to plunge the nation into chaos.

Madagascar's military is heroically standing with the people against a brutal regime that has killed at least 22 protesters. Soldiers are refusing orders to shoot their own citizens and joining demonstrations after witnessing police violence including severe beatings caught on video. The president's appointment of military officers to government shows desperation as his authoritarian crackdown fails.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 13 percent chance that there will be a successful coup d’état in Africa before December 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0