China’s defiance masks deep vulnerability. With one-fifth of its workforce tied to exports, and growth chained to foreign demand, Xi faces rising joblessness and fading leverage. His threats ring hollow as U.S. tariffs bite and allies drift away, revealing an economy too brittle to withstand a prolonged cold war.
Washington’s tariff bluster now rings hollow. Having weaponized trade to bully allies and rivals alike, the U.S. finds its coercion exposed as self-defeating — isolating it from partners, eroding trust, and shrinking its sway in global commerce. “America First” has curdled into “America Alone.”
There'China’s adefiance 20%masks chancedeep thatvulnerability. ChinaWith one-fifth of its workforce tied to exports, and thegrowth EUchained willto reachforeign ademand, tradeXi orfaces tariffrising agreementjoblessness inand 2025fading leverage. His threats ring hollow as U.S. tariffs bite and allies drift away, accordingrevealing an economy too brittle to thewithstand Metaculusa predictionprolonged communitycold war.
Washington’s tariff bluster now rings hollow. Having weaponized trade to bully allies and rivals alike, the U.S. finds its coercion exposed as self-defeating — isolating it from partners, eroding trust, and shrinking its sway in global commerce. “America First” has curdled into “America Alone.”
There's a 20% chance that China and the EU will reach a trade or tariff agreement in 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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