Lloyd Austin

Mark Milley

Mike Minihan

Jacob Thornburg

Michael Brenner

Finian Cunningham

Scott Ritter

Ray Dalio

Kevin Rudd

Zhao Tong

Stanislaw Koziej

Robert S. Ross

Charles C. Krulak

Michael C. Horowitz

Joseph S. Nye

Qin Gang

Frank Kendall III

Thomas L. Friedman

Marco J. Lyons

"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

Centre for Economics and Business Research

Capital Economics

S&P Global

Goldman Sachs

George Magnus

Eswar Prasad

Nathan Sheets

Desmond Lachman

Statista

Rob Subbaraman

JCER

Chris Giles

"China's nominal gross domestic product is unlikely to surpass that of the U.S. in the next few decades."

"This idea of China becoming the world's biggest economy may not happen, actually."

"China probably won't ever overtake the US economy on a sustained basis."

"The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the U.S. is declining."

"If China grows by a more moderate 4% over the long term, its GDP will exceed that of the US eight years later, in 2046."

"China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by around 2035."

"[T]he size of China's economy in USD terms will overtake the US in 2028."

"China will overtake the United States to become the world's biggest economy in 2028."

Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?

Andrew Ng

Eric Schmidt

Chuck Schumer

Brad Smith

Nestor Maslej

Ruth Porat

Ylli Bajraktari

Bruegel

National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence

Brandon J. Weichert

Clement Delangue

Zhou Hongyi

Joseph Tsai

Huey-Meei Chang

Craig S. Smith

Jeffrey Ding

Ray Perrault

Susana Martinez

Niall Ferguson

Larry Elliot

Marcel Munch

Pavel Durov

John Rush

"I think, today, [China is] probably two years behind the top [AI] models [from the US]."

"Where China sits [in AI], I think, is very far behind the US."

"The United States is in a strong position to win the essential [AI] race with China."

"China will dominate AI."

"The combination with China's self-made chips + AI infrastructure stack will put China ahead of the US."

China would "undoubtedly come out on top [in the US-China AI race]."

"[I]t seems like the United States is really far ahead [when it comes to generative AI]."

"China will lead the world in AI development."

In 2025, "China will start to lead the AI race (as a consequence of leading the open-source AI race)."

Will China Surpass the US in AI?

<span>U.S. President Donald Trump downplayed rising U.S.-China tensions Sunday in the wake of Beijing imposing rare earth export controls and him announcing 100% tariffs on China from Nov. 1. China warned on Sunday that it was “not afraid” of a trade war.</span>

The Washington Examiner

U.S. President Donald Trump downplayed rising U.S.-China tensions Sunday in the wake of Beijing imposing rare earth export controls and him announcing 100% tariffs on China from Nov. 1. China warned on Sunday that it was “not afraid” of a trade war.

<span>Criticizing US's imposition of 100% tariffs on China and impose export controls on critical software, China said it would respond to protect its legitimate rights. Trump later posted on Trust Social saying, “Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine!"</span>

Global Times

New York Post

Criticizing US's imposition of 100% tariffs on China and impose export controls on critical software, China said it would respond to protect its legitimate rights. Trump later posted on Trust Social saying, “Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine!"

Trump says ‘don’t worry about China’ after Beijing responds to 100% tariff threat

Trump says ‘don’t worry about China’ after Beijing responds to 100% tariff threat

The Controversies

Thornburg

Milley

Ritter

Krulak

Rudd

Nye

Tong

Friedman

III

Horowitz

Minihan

JCER

Magnus

Economics

Prasad

Global

Sachs

Subbaraman

Research

Tsai

Ding

Smith

Rush

Munch

Hongyi

Maslej

Martinez

Delangue

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Trump says ‘don’t worry about China’ after Beijing responds to 100% tariff threat

The Controversies

Thornburg

Milley

Ritter

Krulak

Rudd

Nye

Tong

Friedman

III

Horowitz

Minihan

JCER

Magnus

Economics

Prasad

Global

Sachs

Subbaraman

Research

Tsai

Ding

Smith

Rush

Munch

Hongyi

Maslej

Martinez

Delangue

Go Deeper

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