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Syria Holds First Parliamentary Elections Since Assad's Fall

Syria Holds First Parliamentary Elections Since Assad's Fall

Syria Holds First Parliamentary Elections Since Assad's Fall
Above: A member of Syria's local committees votes in the country's selection process in Damascus on Oct. 5 2025. Image copyright: Louai Beshara/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

These elections highlight a flawed system that undermines genuine democracy. The electoral process concentrates excessive power in the hands of al-Sharaa, who directly appoints one-third of parliament and controls the entire electoral apparatus through his appointed committees. This creates a closed loop where the president effectively shapes a parliamentary majority of his choosing, turning what should be an independent legislative body into an extension of hispresidential power.

Syria has achieved a remarkable transition from war and chaos to democratic participation in justthe seven months after Assad's fall. TheThese parliamentary elections mark a crucial milestone that fills the legislative gap and enables proper governance during this transitional phase. The electoral system is practically designed for Syria's current circumstances, accounting for displaced populations and missing documentation while ensuring broad national participation in rebuilding the country.

There'sThese elections highlight a 12%flawed chancesystem that Syriaundermines willgenuine bedemocracy. partitionedThe intoelectoral new,process internationallyconcentrates recognizedexcessive sovereignpower statesin beforethe 2040hands of al-Sharaa, accordingwho todirectly appoints one-third of parliament and controls the Metaculusentire predictionelectoral communityapparatus through his appointed committees. This creates a closed loop where the president effectively shapes a parliamentary majority of his choosing, turning what should be an independent legislative body into an extension of presidential power.

Syria has achieved a remarkable transition from war and chaos to democratic participation in the seven months after Assad's fall. These parliamentary elections mark a crucial milestone that fills the legislative gap and enables proper governance during this transitional phase. The electoral system is practically designed for Syria's current circumstances, accounting for displaced populations and missing documentation while ensuring broad national participation in rebuilding the country.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 12% chance that Syria will be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

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