Syria Holds First Parliamentary Elections Since Assad's Fall

Syria Holds First Parliamentary Elections Since Assad's Fall
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The Spin

These elections highlight a flawed system that undermines genuine democracy. The electoral process concentrates excessive power in the hands of al-Sharaa, who directly appoints one-third of parliament and controls the entire electoral apparatus through his appointed committees. This creates a closed loop where the president effectively shapes a parliamentary majority of his choosing, turning what should be an independent legislative body into an extension of his power.

Syria has achieved a remarkable transition from war and chaos to democratic participation in just seven months after Assad's fall. The parliamentary elections mark a crucial milestone that fills the legislative gap and enables proper governance during this transitional phase. The electoral system is practically designed for Syria's current circumstances, accounting for displaced populations and missing documentation while ensuring broad national participation in rebuilding the country.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 12% chance that Syria will be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.15.2