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Snapshot 9:Mon, Sep 29, 2025 1:47:31 PM GMT last edited by Joshua

Moldova's Pro-EU Party Wins Election Amid Russia Interference Claims

Moldova's Pro-EU Party Wins Election Amid Russia Interference Claims

Moldova's Pro-EU Party Wins Election Amid Russia Interference Claims
Above: Supporters of the ruling Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) in Chisinau, Moldova, on Sept. 26, 2025. Image copyright: STR/NurPhoto/Getty Images

The Spin

Officials in Chișinău and across Europe will now breathe a major sigh of relief over Sunday's election, despite an overwhelming campaign of election interference by the Russians. The country can now proceed without hurdles in implementing Moldova's democratic, pro-European mandate.

If anyone's responsible for election interference, it's the Moldovan government. By closing key polling stations, closing bridges and removing parties from the ballot, they have ensured they got the result they wanted.

There'sOfficials ain 15%Chișinău chanceand thatacross MoldovaEurope will controlnow Transnistriabreathe beforea 2028major sigh of relief over Sunday's election, accordingdespite toan overwhelming campaign of election interference by the MetaculusRussians. predictionThe communitycountry can now proceed without hurdles in implementing Moldova's democratic, pro-European mandate.

If anyone's responsible for election interference, it's the Moldovan government. By closing key polling stations, closing bridges and removing parties from the ballot, they have ensured they got the result they wanted.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 15% chance that Moldova will control Transnistria before 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.15.2