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Snapshot 9:Fri, Sep 26, 2025 9:05:51 PM GMT last edited by Anna-Lisa

Trump Approves TikTok Deal Valued at $14B

Trump Approves TikTok Deal Valued at $14B

Trump Approves TikTok Deal Valued at $14B
Above: Donald Trump signs an executive order about TikTok in the Oval Office on Sept. 25, 2025. Image credit: Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Trump has masterfully negotiated a TikTok deal that protects American national security while keeping the app alive for 170 million users. The agreement ensures American investors control the algorithm, prevents foreign propaganda manipulation and generates $178 billion in economic activity. This demonstrates the president's unmatched deal-making skillset that will succeed in putting America first.

The TikTok deal creates dangerous loopholes that undermine the original ban's purpose by allowing ByteDance to retain influence through algorithm licensing. This isn't the clean break Congress mandated, as operational relationships with Beijing persist through shared technology. The arrangement fails to deliver true security from Chinese Communist Party control.

There'sThe aTikTok 51.3%deal chanceis thatless TikTokabout willsecurity stillthan beprotecting availableSilicon inValley’s thedominance. Washington long promoted a “free internet” so U.S. onfirms Dec.could 31,expand 2025unchecked, thoughbut stillnow ownedthat by a foreignChinese adversaryapp has challenged Meta, accordingofficials are forcing a fire sale. Stripping ByteDance of control and transferring authority to theU.S. Metaculusinvestors predictionis communityeconomic nationalism disguised as security, shielding U.S. tech elites while undermining global fair play.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 51.3% chance that TikTok will still be available in the U.S. on Dec. 31, 2025, though still owned by a foreign adversary, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0