Metaculus

CDU open to AfD coalition by 2030

Reuters

Far Rights Western Inroads Create Headache German Coalition 2025 09 15

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party achieved 26% support in an Insa Institute poll published Sunday in the newspaper Bild. This meant that the AfD took the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) bloc led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, which remained at 25 percent.

Dw.Com

Pravda

Bild

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party achieved 26% support in an Insa Institute poll published Sunday in the newspaper Bild. This meant that the AfD took the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) bloc led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, which remained at 25 percent.

The poll, which has a +/– 2.9 percent margin of error, followed a separate ZDF Politbarometer poll released on Friday showing the AfD tied with the CDU/CSU at 26 percent each, representing a one-point gain for the AfD and a one-point decline for the conservative union parties.

Euractiv

The poll, which has a +/– 2.9 percent margin of error, followed a separate ZDF Politbarometer poll released on Friday showing the AfD tied with the CDU/CSU at 26 percent each, representing a one-point gain for the AfD and a one-point decline for the conservative union parties.

In the North Rhine-Westphalia local elections held on Sept. 14, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/afd-triples-support-in-german-state-elections">the AfD nearly tripled its vote share</a> to 14.5 percent compared to 5.1 percent in 2020, while the CDU won approximately 33.3 percent and the Social Democrats (SPD)– who share power in the governing federal coalition – received 22.1 percent of votes cast.

Al Jazeera

In the North Rhine-Westphalia local elections held on Sept. 14, the AfD nearly tripled its vote share to 14.5 percent compared to 5.1 percent in 2020, while the CDU won approximately 33.3 percent and the Social Democrats (SPD)– who share power in the governing federal coalition – received 22.1 percent of votes cast.

Chancellor Friedrich Merz's approval rating dropped to 26 percent in the Insa poll with 62 percent of Germans expressing dissatisfaction with his performance, representing a three-point increase in disapproval from the previous month.

Mizan News Agency

Big News Network

Bild.De

Chancellor Friedrich Merz's approval rating dropped to 26 percent in the Insa poll with 62 percent of Germans expressing dissatisfaction with his performance, representing a three-point increase in disapproval from the previous month.

The SPD saw 15 percent support in both the Insa and Politbarometer polls, leaving the CDU/CSU–SPD governing coalition theoretically with 40 percent overall, short of a parliamentary majority.

The SPD saw 15 percent support in both the Insa and Politbarometer polls, leaving the CDU/CSU–SPD governing coalition theoretically with 40 percent overall, short of a parliamentary majority.

A YouGov poll published last Wednesday showed the AfD reaching 27 percent support, its highest ever recorded level in a German national poll. This comes after the party received 20.8 percent support in <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/cdu-wins-german-vote-as-farright-afd-surges-to-second">the country's federal election in February</a> earlier this year.

Brussels Signal

European Conservative

Government of Germany

A YouGov poll published last Wednesday showed the AfD reaching 27 percent support, its highest ever recorded level in a German national poll. This comes after the party received 20.8 percent support in the country's federal election in February earlier this year.

Metaculus #0

Reuters #0

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party achieved 26 percent support in an Insa Institute poll published Sunday in the newspaper Bild. This meany that the AfD took the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) bloc led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, which remained at 25 percent.

Dw.Com #

Pravda #

Bild #

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party achieved 26 percent support in an Insa Institute poll published Sunday in the newspaper Bild. This meany that the AfD took the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) bloc led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, which remained at 25 percent.

Euractiv #

2DF #

Al Jazeera #

Mizan News Agency #

Big News Network #

Brussels Signal #

European Conservative #

Government of Germany #

The AfD’s rise is a threat to German democracy, taking advantage of domestic tensions for political benefit. Alice Weidel advocate promotes a hate-inspired agenda while pushing for closer ties with Moscow and opposing aid to Ukraine, raising concerns about Germany’s foreign policy alignment while fueling polarization at home.

The AfD’s rise is a threat to German democracy, taking advantage of domestic tensions for political benefit. Alice Weidel advocate promotes a hate-inspired agenda while pushing for closer ties with Moscow and opposing aid to Ukraine, raising concerns about Germany’s foreign policy alignment while fueling polarization at home.

Reuters #

Kyiv Insider

Kyiv Insider #

Putins Allies in the AfD Now Leading German Polls

The AfD’s surge reflects widespread voter concern across the country over immigration, crime and freedom of speech that mainstream parties have ignored. Across Europe, citizens are abandoning the status quo for those who prioritize national security and border control, showing that the AfD addresses critical issues that other parties simply fail to tackle.

The AfD’s surge reflects widespread voter concern across the country over immigration, crime and freedom of speech that mainstream parties have ignored. Across Europe, citizens are abandoning the status quo for those who prioritize national security and border control, showing that the AfD addresses critical issues that other parties simply fail to tackle.

Hungarian Conservative

Hungarian Conservative #

AfD, RN, Reform Top Polls as Europe Turns from Liberal Mainstream

Elon Musk

elonmusk

There is a 20 percent chance that Germany's Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) party will announce that it's open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 20 percent chance that Germany's Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) party will announce that it's open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Germany: AfD Hits 26% in Polls, Surpasses CDU/CSU in Latest Survey

Germany: AfD Hits 26% in Polls, Surpasses CDU/CSU in Latest Survey

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Germany: AfD Hits 26% in Polls, Surpasses CDU/CSU in Latest Survey

Germany: AfD Hits 26% in Polls, Surpasses CDU/CSU in Latest Survey

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