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Snapshot 5:Mon, Sep 22, 2025 5:50:28 PM GMT last edited by Joshua

Germany: AfD Hits 26% in Polls, Surpasses CDU/CSU in Latest Survey

Germany: AfD Hits 26% in Polls, Surpasses CDU/CSU in Latest Survey

Germany: AfD Hits 26% in Polls, Surpasses CDU/CSU in Latest Survey
Above: AfD leader Alice Weidel walks to the lectern in the Bundestag in Berlin, Germany on May 14, 2025. Image credit: Michael Kappeler/picture alliance/Getty Images

The Spin


The AfD’s rise is rattlinga Germany'sthreat governingto coalitionGerman and intensifying domestic political tensionsdemocracy, gainingtaking groundadvantage inof westerndomestic statestensions andfor pressuringpolitical thebenefit. CDU/CSU–SPDAlice coalitionWeidel onadvocate immigration,promotes securitya andhate-inspired governance.agenda Atwhile thepushing samefor time, leaders like Alice Weidel advocate closer ties with Moscow and opposeopposing aid to Ukraine, raising concerns about Germany’s foreign policy alignment while fueling polarization at home.

The AfD’s surge reflects widespread voter concern across the country over immigration, crime and freedom of speech that mainstream parties have ignored. Across Europe, citizens are abandoning liberalthe establishmentsstatus quo for partiesthose thatwho prioritize national security and border control, from France’s National Rally to Austria’s FPÖ and the UK’s Reform Party, showing that the AfD addresses critical issues that other parties simply fail to tackle.


Metaculus Prediction

There is a 20 percent chance that Germany's Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) party will announce that it's open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.4.1