Metaculus

CDU open to AfD coalition by 2030

Reuters

Far Rights Western Inroads Create Headache German Coalition 2025 09 15

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party achieved 26 percent support in an Insa Institute poll published Sunday in the newspaper Bild, overtaking the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) bloc led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, which remained at 25 percent.

Dw.Com

Pravda

The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party achieved 26 percent support in an Insa Institute poll published Sunday in the newspaper Bild, overtaking the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) bloc led by Chancellor Friedrich Merz, which remained at 25 percent.

The poll followed a separate ZDF Politbarometer poll released on Friday showing the AfD tied with the CDU/CSU at 26 percent each, representing a one-point gain for the AfD and a one-point decline for the conservative union parties.

Euractiv

The poll followed a separate ZDF Politbarometer poll released on Friday showing the AfD tied with the CDU/CSU at 26 percent each, representing a one-point gain for the AfD and a one-point decline for the conservative union parties.

In the North Rhine-Westphalia local elections held on Sept. 14, <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/afd-triples-support-in-german-state-elections">the AfD nearly tripled its vote share</a> to 14.5 percent compared to 5.1 percent in 2020, while the CDU won approximately 33.3 percent and the Social Democrats (SPD)– who share power in the governing federal coalition – received 22.1 percent of votes cast.

Al Jazeera

In the North Rhine-Westphalia local elections held on Sept. 14, the AfD nearly tripled its vote share to 14.5 percent compared to 5.1 percent in 2020, while the CDU won approximately 33.3 percent and the Social Democrats (SPD)– who share power in the governing federal coalition – received 22.1 percent of votes cast.

Chancellor Friedrich Merz's approval rating dropped to 26 percent in the Insa poll with 62 percent of Germans expressing dissatisfaction with his performance, representing a three-point increase in disapproval from the previous month.

Mizan News Agency

Big News Network

Chancellor Friedrich Merz's approval rating dropped to 26 percent in the Insa poll with 62 percent of Germans expressing dissatisfaction with his performance, representing a three-point increase in disapproval from the previous month.

The SPD maintained 15% support in both the Insa and Politbarometer polls, leaving the CDU/CSU–SPD governing coalition theoretically with 40% overall, short of a parliamentary majority.

The SPD maintained 15% support in both the Insa and Politbarometer polls, leaving the CDU/CSU–SPD governing coalition theoretically with 40% overall, short of a parliamentary majority.

A YouGov poll published last Wednesday showed the AfD reaching 27% support, its highest ever recorded level in a German national poll. The party received 20.8% overall support in <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.verity.news/story/2025/cdu-wins-german-vote-as-farright-afd-surges-to-second">the country's federal election in February</a> earlier this year.

Brussels Signal

A YouGov poll published last Wednesday showed the AfD reaching 27% support, its highest ever recorded level in a German national poll. The party received 20.8% overall support in the country's federal election in February earlier this year.

The AfD’s rise is rattling Germany's governing coalition and intensifying domestic political tensions, gaining ground in western states and pressuring the CDU/CSU–SPD coalition on immigration, security and governance. At the same time, leaders like Alice Weidel advocate closer ties with Moscow and oppose aid to Ukraine, raising concerns about Germany’s foreign policy alignment while fueling polarization at home.

The AfD’s rise is rattling Germany's governing coalition and intensifying domestic political tensions, gaining ground in western states and pressuring the CDU/CSU–SPD coalition on immigration, security and governance. At the same time, leaders like Alice Weidel advocate closer ties with Moscow and oppose aid to Ukraine, raising concerns about Germany’s foreign policy alignment while fueling polarization at home.

Kyiv Insider

Putins Allies in the AfD Now Leading German Polls

The AfD’s surge reflects widespread voter concern across the country over immigration, crime and freedom of speech that mainstream parties have ignored. Across Europe, citizens are abandoning liberal establishments for parties that prioritize national security and border control, from France’s National Rally to Austria’s FPÖ and the UK’s Reform Party, showing that the AfD addresses critical issues other parties fail to tackle.

The AfD’s surge reflects widespread voter concern across the country over immigration, crime and freedom of speech that mainstream parties have ignored. Across Europe, citizens are abandoning liberal establishments for parties that prioritize national security and border control, from France’s National Rally to Austria’s FPÖ and the UK’s Reform Party, showing that the AfD addresses critical issues other parties fail to tackle.

teslaownersSV

Hungarian Conservative

AfD, RN, Reform Top Polls as Europe Turns from Liberal Mainstream

There is a 20% chance that Germany's Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) party will announce that it's open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There is a 20% chance that Germany's Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) party will announce that it's open to negotiating a coalition with the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Germany: AfD Hits 26% in Polls, Surpasses CDU/CSU in Latest Survey

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Germany: AfD Hits 26% in Polls, Surpasses CDU/CSU in Latest Survey

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